TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b80…ad84backed Yes24c10,032$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84b…fbd0backed Yes24c10,023$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c32…99c0backed No76c9,994$7,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9632…15b6backed No76c9,992$7,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c2…c9c4backed No78c6,752$5,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…dffebacked Yes22c6,752$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2170…8e8abacked Yes2c5,393$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No75c5,316$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.345853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes21c4,262$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed No75c3,669$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.343839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa933…6077backed Yes25c3,300$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid+186.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cc7…205fbacked Yes1c3,015$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5f…1aecbacked Yes24c2,220$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf674…59d0backed No76c2,220$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8d…4adbbacked No76c1,684$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ee…3605backed Yes24c1,684$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No74c1,316$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.1917048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No73c1,145$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2830754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504425%11 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402020%4 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes24c657$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6819453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed No77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+258.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Yes26c531.5$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.193036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0c…f2a7backed Yes25c521.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No77c460.05$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8110743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes24c409.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.416836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdacd…cfb2backed Yes25c400.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd95…c206backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+702.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbda…0fc4backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed No76c229.51$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.061464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes26c211.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Yes24c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.732250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6102…3af3backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5034449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9503…c47fbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fec…70f9backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c97…c214backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No76c189.17$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9346956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes25c188$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x394c…2165backed Yes25c155$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b8…c769backed Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…2ce3backed No75c145$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.25147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e6…c87abacked Yes25c145$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2560%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes28c140.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No75c132$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9344955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702c…6550backed Yes25c122$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91e…5f1cbacked No75c122$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1965…ba40backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cdd…a653backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked No79c113.68$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick74cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c7a…aa54backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes23c111$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.534052.5%21 W · 19 L+9.3wins+0.23per pick29cpaid+261.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No77c111$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.739350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…440bbacked Yes25c110$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d1…70acbacked No75c110$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x452d…eba4backed No75c108$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2cb…d03fbacked Yes25c108$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes30c106.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…463dbacked No75c104$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee04…18eebacked Yes25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1df2…7674backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb20e…bef4backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d7…e5a3backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0283…42afbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa882…d89cbacked No75c99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.75812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-83.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2324…e4dcbacked Yes25c99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7580%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5eb…8bcabacked Yes25c97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe329…0218backed Yes25c97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7afa…fb71backed No75c97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-89.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7306…8998backed No75c97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-88.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb60…cfe0backed No75c95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.75147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf0…5c64backed No76c92.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.233100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No75c88.46$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2236851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc039…e2e0backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…c70dbacked No77c80.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb24…991bbacked No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf15a…3504backed Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…1730backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb0…30d3backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf778…05b2backed Yes30c75.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.786229%18 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No76c75.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.125754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No75c74.33$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.259952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa289…d95cbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9af…f7b2backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+115.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b07…2d28backed Yes24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9abdbacked Yes25c69.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.33825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba7a…5658backed Yes25c67.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.132050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa0…e7cfbacked No76c67.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.