TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$267,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes2c39,872$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.0939842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…68dcbacked No57c36,654$20,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,756.27966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes43c14,082$6,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,055.177042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes43c12,093$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2cd…f967backed Yes0c12,011$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes5c11,163$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5107055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No57c9,541$5,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,126.445754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No70c8,564$5,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.015853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No54c7,952$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,631.4710845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d6b…6509backed No57c7,000$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc2…cce7backed Yes0c6,011$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No56c5,391$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes30c5,369$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6003818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8433…1b1fbacked Yes43c5,336$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d8c…f635backed Yes0c5,048$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes0c5,035$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes44c4,572$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004425%11 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes44c4,546$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes23c4,134$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93110330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes43c3,891$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6822528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4630…c420backed No58c3,400$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes45c3,352$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f9…da6bbacked Yes3c3,233$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8d50backed Yes43c3,114$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes41c3,100$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2738040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0401…aad0backed Yes0c3,055$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.45540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfb8…49ecbacked Yes0c3,033$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.054459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No72c2,960$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.0730754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes46c2,175$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No57c2,009$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.438748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9719453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe08d…3c4abacked Yes27c1,689$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2d…d158backed Yes5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3368…f2eabacked Yes42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No56c1,443$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.055343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbda…0fc4backed Yes15c1,420$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes39c1,277$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.620133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed No68c1,233$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.581952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.9824742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd0…f582backed Yes43c1,165$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.951145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec2c…8f76backed Yes43c1,147$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No58c1,093$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.112359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes3c1,080$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.384841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes37c1,067$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes26c1,034$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c4f…61ccbacked Yes24c1,024$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4302454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f63…67c4backed Yes42c999.97$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No73c959.65$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9312147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ec…f502backed No57c876.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Yes43c858.16$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.01540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+48.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7f…00c2backed No58c824.95$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf4…8f44backed Yes42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb853…d55abacked Yes43c695.94$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.25333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No68c692.44$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.199350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed No57c673.26$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.52040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Yes43c657.33$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.651145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ec…3ef2backed Yes28c648.1$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ce…8520backed Yes48c583.21$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.94540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b6…0acebacked Yes43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0cd…c8c7backed Yes44c581.2$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d5…fe48backed Yes39c576.19$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes18c554.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.76028.3%17 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fef…3589backed No72c554.79$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.79560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked No57c531.77$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.661643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes43c508.01$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4413139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21519645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83f5…b3fdbacked No58c483.29$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Yes30c481.42$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.323036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No58c480.43$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.872365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes43c470$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.12222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe94e…ac9ebacked Yes43c470$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf716…c4dfbacked Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked No58c453.58$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1911643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ded…2e5bbacked Yes43c407.3$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes43c374.35$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.978142%34 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc358…0a36backed No58c366.07$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No56c364.67$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1829136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes18c352.84$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.96540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9016…dac3backed Yes43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Yes42c346.3$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.451323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed No58c333.33$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408643%37 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked No57c325.58$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes43c325.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed No58c304.85$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.042254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Yes42c299.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0c…f2a7backed Yes43c299.71$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes42c299$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.582347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes43c282.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c280$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eba…217ebacked Yes28c269.6$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.633043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9d…9865backed Yes43c244.16$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed No57c231.83$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.031464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes30c231.06$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.989538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.