Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe952c969c4c10391839c96a821081a979cd6c7ce8f122649df1c5bcf5c0aa15f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8744…370bbacked Yes | 32c | 45,426$14,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,889.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001c…43f2backed No | 68c | 45,426$30,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,889.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 65c | 19,714$12,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,814.42 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 58c | 15,238$8,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,420.59 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 66c | 14,102$9,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,346.31 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 32c | 10,690$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.43 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…d12cbacked Yes | 35c | 10,287$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,686.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked No | 67c | 9,397$6,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,255.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked No | 43c | 6,924$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e996backed Yes | 33c | 5,875$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Yes | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +92%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 5,389$3,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.89 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed No | 35c | 4,700$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 33c | 4,564$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.64 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…cf77backed Yes | 35c | 4,314$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 45c | 4,266$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.01 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 34c | 4,050$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.99 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 47c | 3,517$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…6077backed Yes | 34c | 3,389$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.74 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 52c | 2,907$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.86 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…6530backed Yes | 34c | 2,677$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…9601backed No | 66c | 2,677$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.99 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 64c | 1,811$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,730$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 17c | 1,655$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 66c | 1,405$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.14 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,286$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 55c | 1,272$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.74 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed No | 66c | 1,106$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 70c | 947.5$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.57 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…c7debacked No | 44c | 904.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 65c | 888.56$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.15 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 35c | 849.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.85 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 59c | 843.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.72 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 65c | 789.97$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.23 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…ec3abacked Yes | 36c | 757.83$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 739.99$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.43 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 54c | 699.77$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.88 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 51c | 674.14$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.81 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 48c | 633.95$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 66c | 622.86$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.86 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 35c | 604.77$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…5bc2backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…9679backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…97d9backed Yes | 58c | 552.97$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 49c | 506.24$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed No | 38c | 469.47$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 35c | 452.74$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6b…d8c8backed Yes | 34c | 430.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked No | 67c | 428.25$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6d…ee83backed Yes | 34c | 427$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Yes | 53c | 410.62$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 54c | 408.91$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.88 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…7273backed Yes | 80c | 391.76$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 34c | 339.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.3 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…1fc2backed No | 66c | 335.82$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 66c | 330$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 36c | 303.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94e…ac9ebacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…64e8backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…04e5backed Yes | 35c | 284.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Yes | 35c | 282.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.93 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 36c | 277.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…3589backed Yes | 54c | 275$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 27c | 274.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 43c | 268.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 264.03$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 67c | 257.69$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.65 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 50c | 237.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 66c | 230.15$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 34c | 215$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 30c | 208.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…713abacked Yes | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…5b90backed Yes | 35c | 202.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +371.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…4ddfbacked Yes | 34c | 202.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 66c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Yes | 35c | 199.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed No | 38c | 198.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…0643backed Yes | 55c | 189.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 184.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…16d9backed Yes | 34c | 184.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 35c | 182.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…a1a2backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…70f7backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7d…83c2backed No | 43c | 175.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.