TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35ac…c70d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.75
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.75
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$20.33
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+184.4%+$59.02
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$15
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+28.3%+$18.42
Spurs vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+455.6%+$50.11
Pacers vs. Clippersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$40.86
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$95
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.79
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Predators vs. Hurricanesbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$35.44
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$15.81
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$28.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Liberty vs Acesbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$21.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.