NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x783d5c8d8fb79236e3f4ad1fb0e97877897ae7b6b8fa234449d958481944ef56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Wizards | 21c | 29,873$6,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,384.99 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Wizards | 0c | 24,145$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Spurs | 78c | 18,271$14,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.02 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 17c | 11,653$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.54 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 78c | 8,000$6,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Wizards | 17c | 5,254$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.9 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 3c | 4,742$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Wizards | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Wizards | 31c | 3,244$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Wizards | 18c | 2,635$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.96 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Spurs | 80c | 2,481$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.94 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Wizards | 20c | 2,230$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.8 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 16c | 2,093$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.69 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Wizards | 18c | 2,020$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.3 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Wizards | 19c | 2,000$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.33 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…4ad1backed Wizards | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Wizards | 18c | 1,873$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.07 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs | 79c | 1,800$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.8 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…045cbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,612$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Wizards | 17c | 1,612$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Wizards | 18c | 1,533$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Wizards | 4c | 1,514$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Spurs | 77c | 1,445$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.34 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 12c | 1,244$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 1c | 1,231$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Wizards | 9c | 1,201$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Wizards | 18c | 972.23$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 14c | 949.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.57 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Wizards | 3c | 936$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 14c | 933$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c4…0676backed Wizards | 18c | 927.67$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Wizards | 22c | 919.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 1c | 912.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Wizards | 7c | 833.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Wizards | 18c | 810.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Wizards | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Wizards | 16c | 794.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 17c | 749.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Wizards | 24c | 710$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Wizards | 18c | 616.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Wizards | 17c | 612.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 17c | 600.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…7c4cbacked Wizards | 16c | 599.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Wizards | 13c | 587$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Wizards | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 13c | 551.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Wizards | 17c | 546$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked Wizards | 19c | 517.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…14a7backed Wizards | 17c | 504.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wizards | 2c | 503$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Wizards | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Wizards | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Wizards | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Wizards | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Wizards | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…2932backed Wizards | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Wizards | 23c | 494.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Wizards | 16c | 454.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…5db5backed Wizards | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 18c | 399.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Wizards | 6c | 364.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 17c | 338$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 17c | 327.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Wizards | 20c | 320.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Wizards | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Wizards | 17c | 299.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Wizards | 18c | 278.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Wizards | 18c | 278.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Wizards | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Wizards | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Spurs | 77c | 231.08$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…0c13backed Wizards | 24c | 194.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Wizards | 26c | 190.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wizards | 22c | 183.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Wizards | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Wizards | 31c | 164.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…8ef2backed Wizards | 29c | 159.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Wizards | 17c | 152.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…dbecbacked Wizards | 17c | 151.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Wizards | 21c | 150.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Wizards | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Wizards | 17c | 149.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Wizards | 18c | 149.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Wizards | 17c | 141$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ca…b09cbacked Wizards | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…3a22backed Wizards | 21c | 138.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Wizards | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Wizards | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Wizards | 18c | 122$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8d75backed Wizards | 18c | 111.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Wizards | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…a532backed Wizards | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.