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NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Devils, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1fcf…48e1backed Canadiens33c9,637$3,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,167.121675%12 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+65.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens33c9,285$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,106.9985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Canadiens42c7,714$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.9823642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Devils67c6,803$4,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.8592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Canadiens4c3,792$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6718237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Canadiens46c2,838$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.612123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-56.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Devils64c2,775$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.832331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Devils58c2,370$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.420147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Devils65c2,097$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.163,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Devils67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66022842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Canadiens31c1,926$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.848950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils58c1,737$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.671,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Devils62c1,633$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.872259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Devils58c1,606$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.851,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Canadiens40c759.07$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.6313756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Devils59c673.55$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.645648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens40c610$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Devils58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Devils58c542.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.0675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Devils58c516$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.7279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9a…062fbacked Canadiens42c495.24$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc3…3097backed Devils60c493.5$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Devils57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1725757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Canadiens42c358.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Canadiens29c339.28$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.714542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbdd…5905backed Devils61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Devils58c266.46$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9172448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df7…94d6backed Devils77c260.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.711844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18af…f909backed Canadiens43c247.28$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Devils58c236.59$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Canadiens28c202.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.84831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78ab…c5f7backed Devils58c199.94$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.971154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Devils62c161.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.494158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Devils58c129$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1860549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Devils60c128.22$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.299547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a1…3726backed Devils60c126.45$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.582642.3%11 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98ae…85febacked Devils60c124.75$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.91963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Devils75c114.15$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.542661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x651e…76cebacked Devils60c108.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Canadiens28c108.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Devils59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4126059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f9…32fabacked Devils59c99.17$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e3…a992backed Canadiens42c97.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Devils59c97.53$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Canadiens41c96.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Canadiens27c91.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Devils58c78$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7648149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Canadiens20c74.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf983…1ae2backed Canadiens42c73.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…b387backed Devils58c72.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.414141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e9…eed2backed Devils60c71.67$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc3…da8abacked Canadiens42c66.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…81c3backed Devils67c66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f58…aa47backed Canadiens33c66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Devils60c65.16$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0219347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb541…947fbacked Devils69c55.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.171573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Devils58c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.181846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2db4…f62abacked Devils60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35ac…c70dbacked Canadiens41c49.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7822…f8b8backed Devils60c48.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.531573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4d8…a851backed Canadiens41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd67f…a3b2backed Canadiens42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Canadiens40c47.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1916447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c22…e09abacked Canadiens33c47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76fe…0a95backed Devils67c47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94d4…2c98backed Canadiens33c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe19…f126backed Canadiens35c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ca…2899backed Devils65c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d8…90f6backed Devils60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Canadiens40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…37eabacked Devils77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.962544%11 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe136…d850backed Canadiens33c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8377…de6fbacked Devils67c38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ba…f6eabacked Canadiens41c37.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1965…4b83backed Devils59c37.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6422…9b53backed Canadiens41c37.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x943a…72e2backed Canadiens36c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed Canadiens41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158638.4%33 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60b9…5675backed Canadiens41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Devils58c35.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7776450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcf…812fbacked Devils59c33.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…af37backed Devils60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f34…3bd9backed Devils60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa81…9b91backed Devils60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e5…e4cfbacked Devils67c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8433…5c3fbacked Canadiens33c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Canadiens41c32.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5316437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc164…c4d6backed Devils59c32.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…1661backed Devils59c31.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72c2…d9dbbacked Canadiens39c30.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe690…ff34backed Devils61c30.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…f1ddbacked Canadiens41c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x615f…cf7abacked Devils59c28.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Canadiens42c28.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2a…56b2backed Devils65c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe82f…b3e0backed Devils67c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0015…1daebacked Devils61c26.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.496100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Canadiens42c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9239757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.