NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ce0630b1bcdd33428c78803f0c3901a188d7e8e092b50b279421c87b686fea2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Bulls, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 78c | 45,808$35,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,018.31 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Bulls | 24c | 21,587$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180.88 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bulls | 25c | 9,230$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.96 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 17c | 8,645$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.57 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bulls | 21c | 5,696$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.63 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Bulls | 22c | 5,674$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bulls | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Bulls | 1c | 5,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 21c | 4,316$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.5 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 13c | 4,266$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Bulls | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 69c | 3,909$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.61 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Bulls | 13c | 3,490$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.7 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Bulls | 16c | 3,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 18c | 3,050$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…ec97backed Bulls | 1c | 3,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bulls | 18c | 2,994$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.95 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Bulls | 17c | 2,905$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.74 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Bulls | 19c | 2,586$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.38 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 2,128$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.17 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Bulls | 18c | 2,094$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Bulls | 7c | 1,776$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…2340backed Bulls | 16c | 1,609$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Bulls | 36c | 1,563$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.8 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Bulls | 17c | 1,521$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.43 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 10c | 1,460$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…50c7backed Bulls | 19c | 1,319$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Bulls | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls | 4c | 1,218$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Bulls | 7c | 1,206$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Bulls | 18c | 1,199$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Bulls | 17c | 1,175$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…2456backed Bulls | 16c | 1,150$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…43a9backed Bulls | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 1,025$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.86 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Bulls | 6c | 1,005$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Bulls | 19c | 942.11$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls | 1c | 839$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bulls | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Bulls | 19c | 700$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Bulls | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…13b0backed Bulls | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdc…a9bfbacked Bulls | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked Bulls | 27c | 550.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 137 | 56.9%78 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bulls | 19c | 533.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 520.3$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls | 19c | 515$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls | 19c | 501.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad1…a60ebacked Bulls | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Bulls | 18c | 485.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Bulls | 15c | 484.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bulls | 6c | 457.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…ffdbbacked Bulls | 19c | 434.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Bulls | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Bulls | 18c | 419.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…b747backed Bulls | 19c | 412.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Bulls | 9c | 384.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bulls | 19c | 376.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Bulls | 13c | 371.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Bulls | 22c | 365.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 3c | 355$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ca…b09cbacked Bulls | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 18c | 299.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Bulls | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Bulls | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Bulls | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Bulls | 19c | 264$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Bulls | 20c | 252.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Bulls | 18c | 252$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 20c | 228.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Bulls | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…3458backed Bulls | 19c | 209.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Bulls | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Bulls | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Bulls | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Bulls | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed Bulls | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Bulls | 24c | 175$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Bulls | 32c | 156.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Bulls | 18c | 155.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6176…79e9backed Bulls | 15c | 146$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…7d20backed Bulls | 22c | 140.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Bulls | 13c | 139.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Bulls | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Bulls | 18c | 134.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Bulls | 24c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Bulls | 18c | 111.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bulls | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Bulls | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…621bbacked Bulls | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 106.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f0…bb27backed Bulls | 18c | 104.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…c340backed Bulls | 29c | 102.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Bulls | 14c | 101.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Bulls | 22c | 101.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed Bulls | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…f792backed Bulls | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Bulls | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.