TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Spurs, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$486,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$477,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3078…3e11backed Hornets16c27,967$4,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,512.522049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Spurs22c24,138$5,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,197.4333931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Hornets65c14,737$9,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,136.9729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs32c14,352$4,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.263,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets76c13,292$10,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,178.5647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Spurs32c13,237$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,259.9270147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…b735backed Hornets68c11,782$7,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,825.661060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2b…eadabacked Spurs1c10,100$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Hornets75c8,535$6,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.3320447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs66c8,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets17c6,483$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,366.191,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Hornets58c6,466$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.389572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Spurs27c5,663$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.0549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Hornets72c5,348$3,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.31,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Spurs53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Hornets18c4,712$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,863.8920047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Hornets21c4,127$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.2546342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Hornets63c3,991$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.225267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a0…aeaebacked Hornets72c3,901$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs39c3,895$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.985,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Spurs67c3,776$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.3543653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Hornets17c3,300$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.5725833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets18c3,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.8640627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Spurs69c2,872$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc31e…82cdbacked Hornets19c2,847$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.37875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+115.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Hornets68c2,825$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.255628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Hornets74c2,792$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.8317044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Spurs65c2,500$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.771,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets19c2,344$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.2196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c91…3910backed Hornets78c2,333$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.69887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+61.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Hornets51c2,092$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01925016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Hornets19c1,975$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.7317047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs80c1,915$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.9250245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets31c1,850$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.8836434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed Spurs63c1,715$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.7611259.8%67 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6060…2a60backed Hornets18c1,556$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.56944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Spurs45c1,544$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.4719033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea87…d01fbacked Hornets17c1,540$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+104.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets20c1,539$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.411,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Spurs34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2967…4517backed Spurs79c1,476$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.931758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Hornets51c1,441$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.517349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Hornets53c1,441$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.7815341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2629…417cbacked Hornets20c1,400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets39c1,400$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.7470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Hornets48c1,368$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.855145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe20…4d3ebacked Hornets20c1,230$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9841464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+70.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Hornets52c1,214$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.9126934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hornets19c1,102$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.8687647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Hornets47c1,063$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3810246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hornets19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.931,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets16c1,052$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.751,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Hornets18c1,017$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.677636.8%28 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets18c999.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets35c973.39$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.891,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed Spurs63c963.23$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.832450%12 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Hornets19c907$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.5462349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c4…bbcdbacked Hornets80c900$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aaf…8a8dbacked Spurs20c877.45$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Hornets73c872.89$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.956870.6%48 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Spurs79c861.4$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.5163555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets20c839$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93e6…aa45backed Spurs80c807$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd6c…42b2backed Hornets80c795.1$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.029154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b75…c585backed Spurs10c758.48$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.285131.4%16 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hornets20c754.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.211,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Spurs28c724.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b3…4575backed Hornets55c702.22$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa438…9b9fbacked Hornets48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36412759.8%76 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs79c690$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.151037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6d…a13fbacked Hornets59c675.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.252572%18 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936d…5c15backed Hornets50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6442…2163backed Hornets30c664.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.734738.3%18 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43df…d401backed Hornets67c613.43$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.63366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Hornets46c611.22$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.0670951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6426…bb53backed Hornets66c609.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.07944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccab…cb62backed Spurs33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets19c605$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.1585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets18c600.96$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.7985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Spurs3c529$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Hornets19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3210240.2%41 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Spurs42c518.96$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.645647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Hornets19c516.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.6514040%56 W · 84 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Spurs49c510.6$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3527631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Spurs27c500$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6712232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9fc…57e9backed Hornets74c500$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Hornets50c491.8$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.92572%18 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Spurs46c432.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023359.7%139 W · 94 L+0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896f…9cd4backed Spurs52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Hornets18c400$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3288442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Spurs62c395.77$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3630061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78ab…c5f7backed Hornets60c386$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.41947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Spurs52c374.74$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8653134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Hornets19c350$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.511939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Spurs29c350$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.11816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+85.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c39…15d7backed Hornets73c345.79$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.364870.8%34 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Hornets22c344.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8518246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.