NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x758957fcade552aaf1a49cebce9dcef8d4d0791bdf5c94dbda3f1dee7770323e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 558 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Magic | 29c | 50,123$14,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,725.02 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cavaliers | 80c | 32,776$26,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,678.87 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Magic | 14c | 20,000$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.35 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 17,277$12,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125.51 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff5…6063backed Magic | 0c | 15,385$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…850ebacked Cavaliers | 73c | 12,943$9,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 27c | 12,589$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.09 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic | 29c | 12,290$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.1 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 29c | 11,669$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.66 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Cavaliers | 71c | 10,776$7,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.12 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Cavaliers | 70c | 10,714$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.29 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 29c | 8,410$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Cavaliers | 74c | 8,108$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.11 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Magic | 29c | 6,621$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.09 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Cavaliers | 71c | 6,300$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.96 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 30c | 5,467$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.54 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 5,177$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.55 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Cavaliers | 79c | 5,085$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.24 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 28c | 5,031$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.84 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 4,997$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.92 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Cavaliers | 72c | 3,306$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.87 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic | 26c | 3,152$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.61 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 30c | 3,040$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.96 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 72c | 3,000$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.61 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Magic | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…f9a9backed Cavaliers | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Magic | 4c | 2,635$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Magic | 30c | 2,324$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.3 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Magic | 28c | 2,216$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.45 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Magic | 30c | 2,191$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.22 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Cavaliers | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 4c | 1,900$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 27c | 1,790$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.99 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Cavaliers | 72c | 1,700$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,672$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.69 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,622$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.62 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 19c | 1,568$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.75 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 1,539$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.24 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.97 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 1,458$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.11 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 20c | 1,437$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.24 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 29c | 1,420$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.22 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 78c | 1,292$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.13 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,245$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.25 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Magic | 26c | 1,148$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.55 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 9c | 1,035$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Magic | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Cavaliers | 70c | 999.81$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.94 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 28c | 993$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 73c | 985.23$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.2 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cavaliers | 77c | 929.84$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Magic | 28c | 901.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 73c | 890.97$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.56 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Magic | 30c | 760$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.24 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Magic | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 740.74$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 31c | 704.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.54 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcace…4fbdbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Cavaliers | 74c | 694.5$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…5176backed Magic | 28c | 689.29$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Cavaliers | 72c | 671.89$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.13 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Magic | 28c | 625.1$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.03 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 29c | 567.48$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Magic | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Magic | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Cavaliers | 74c | 472.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…d133backed Magic | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 27c | 437.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Magic | 10c | 432.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9487backed Magic | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…6de3backed Cavaliers | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…56c1backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…cc19backed Magic | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…c58fbacked Magic | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…fa44backed Magic | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…af97backed Magic | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…420fbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…29e0backed Cavaliers | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…57dfbacked Magic | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…d9d9backed Magic | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…d59cbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…1318backed Magic | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…09b7backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…7fa6backed Magic | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…5765backed Magic | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…9ea1backed Magic | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90cd…e97bbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d1…52cebacked Magic | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…94cbbacked Magic | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d8b3backed Cavaliers | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…aedbbacked Magic | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…25fcbacked Magic | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…2f6dbacked Magic | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…abd6backed Cavaliers | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.