TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Jazz, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,192,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$992,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,192,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 586 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Suns72c81,278$58,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,102.1647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Jazz23c30,290$6,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,860.1733931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Jazz27c27,397$7,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,397.2137448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz26c24,855$6,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,541.363,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433b…58debacked Jazz0c14,073$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.075726.3%15 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Jazz30c11,681$3,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,467.1680146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz19c10,979$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.191,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz0c10,024$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4936514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz25c8,885$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.4846131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Suns13c8,205$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,114.3470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Jazz30c7,784$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.5825016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Suns69c7,035$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.517163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Suns72c6,350$4,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.8836057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns74c6,330$4,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.8577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Suns66c6,010$3,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.613426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf11c…1290backed Jazz43c5,722$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.882326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Suns57c5,332$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.2911250.9%57 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Jazz36c5,170$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.4117044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Jazz0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Jazz28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40011834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Jazz33c5,000$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.0530826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Suns66c4,930$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.5968642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Suns65c4,319$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.6134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Jazz28c4,188$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.7247848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Jazz23c4,000$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9355628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd61c…5953backed Jazz24c3,898$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.521050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Suns68c3,758$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.2929652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz5c3,657$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.048783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Jazz21c3,572$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.5426235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22a…f94abacked Suns76c3,367$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.131338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz2c3,309$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.141,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Suns72c3,138$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.9722049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz24c3,050$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7321,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x498f…7b7fbacked Jazz2c2,992$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.765545.5%25 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Suns72c2,595$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.6417047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz35c2,522$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.085,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb933…68f9backed Suns53c2,509$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.531338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Jazz46c2,489$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.4320447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6442…2163backed Jazz20c2,430$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4844738.3%18 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Suns75c2,310$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.0573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Suns73c2,241$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60043653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f8…0a4bbacked Jazz1c2,240$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x916b…e181backed Jazz17c2,062$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.111346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+46.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Suns72c1,888$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.211,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Jazz1c1,886$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Suns78c1,882$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.7727163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe20…4d3ebacked Jazz25c1,800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+70.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz10c1,691$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5736434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz30c1,683$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50545135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Suns66c1,660$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.3130351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz1c1,600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.387502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns72c1,568$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.4296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Jazz30c1,544$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.927349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1e…7c4cbacked Jazz8c1,415$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.57241.7%30 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Suns73c1,407$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3415341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Suns72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8916261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Jazz55c1,385$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.861,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf31…d3d1backed Suns76c1,382$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.591163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Jazz44c1,379$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.3419451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ad…b747backed Jazz26c1,358$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3531050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a85…78e3backed Suns70c1,316$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadef…d0acbacked Suns79c1,301$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.153348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf25…224cbacked Jazz9c1,300$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.351421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Suns77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.711355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Suns67c1,263$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.8521455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd569…ff3bbacked Jazz11c1,220$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.64928.6%14 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a4…83cebacked Suns69c1,174$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.282937.9%11 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Jazz33c1,125$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.2530443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…755dbacked Suns68c1,113$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.943476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffb8…646dbacked Jazz4c1,080$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5210720.6%22 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Jazz29c1,071$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.733752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Suns76c1,030$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.1925833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Jazz24c1,027$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5817546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…1eedbacked Jazz2c1,013$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.118027.5%22 W · 58 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz25c1,000$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Suns74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz24c999.91$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9832130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Jazz26c950.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Jazz30c950$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.3929747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Jazz31c944.83$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29221723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jazz24c870$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz33c838.83$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.270640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c13…2096backed Suns70c800$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz35c792.73$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.1151037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Jazz41c788.32$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.214344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Suns72c783.48$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.484443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Suns72c780.94$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9419944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz26c755.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c8…9832backed Suns75c754$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Suns75c743$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz28c718.05$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1588053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa591…9079backed Jazz26c717.96$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.321758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Jazz31c707.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8426431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936d…5c15backed Jazz43c699$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.71520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3d9…ede2backed Jazz51c692.16$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Jazz8c669.66$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.127546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Suns75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.678343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.