NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb32fbfab125df4ba9045c6cf993e5c26f2d094e9a44852c44ee5d623d3b4fa1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 14c | 20,133$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.61 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nets | 0c | 8,875$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nets | 24c | 6,903$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.44 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Nets | 13c | 6,715$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.94 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets | 14c | 5,087$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.18 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nets | 14c | 4,193$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.01 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Nets | 11c | 3,640$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nets | 0c | 3,150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Nets | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets | 14c | 2,856$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Nets | 14c | 2,849$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nets | 15c | 1,900$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Nets | 14c | 1,785$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Nets | 14c | 1,583$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.68 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…86b6backed Clippers | 80c | 1,412$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nets | 14c | 1,002$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Nets | 15c | 833.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Nets | 17c | 757.06$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Nets | 14c | 715$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nets | 14c | 714$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Nets | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Nets | 15c | 634.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Nets | 13c | 500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Nets | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets | 20c | 488.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Nets | 10c | 466.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets | 9c | 443.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Nets | 13c | 414.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Nets | 14c | 378$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nets | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Nets | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Nets | 14c | 238$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Nets | 14c | 220$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Clippers | 74c | 217$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Nets | 26c | 217$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Nets | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Clippers | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…8e8bbacked Nets | 15c | 198.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Nets | 14c | 196$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Nets | 14c | 178.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Nets | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f30…75bdbacked Nets | 15c | 175.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…6c05backed Nets | 14c | 157.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nets | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets | 14c | 140.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Nets | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Nets | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa6…f1febacked Nets | 15c | 113.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Nets | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c02…b4d4backed Nets | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 336 | 39%131 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Nets | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Clippers | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd025…1c54backed Nets | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Nets | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Nets | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Clippers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Nets | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb4…ff62backed Clippers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…64d3backed Nets | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…2e12backed Clippers | 75c | 90.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…316dbacked Nets | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…c70dbacked Nets | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…f950backed Nets | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…736cbacked Nets | 14c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…f9adbacked Nets | 17c | 66.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…c4b2backed Nets | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Clippers | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.