Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf83929a384bddb4004863a84c8ed819cad8ce7ac8a813e699855721b3dc51b11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed No | 77c | 143,000$110,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,110 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…81c4backed Yes | 23c | 143,000$32,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…50bebacked No | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb2…1f6cbacked Yes | 24c | 9,991$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,592.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 10c | 6,445$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.2 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 28c | 3,209$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.38 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 76c | 1,656$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.58 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 79c | 1,272$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.23 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 22c | 1,258$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.04 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 57c | 916.58$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.82 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 23c | 800$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 77c | 800$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…b08abacked Yes | 24c | 575$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…1f0bbacked Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +145%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe01e…f73abacked No | 78c | 464.33$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 23c | 440$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb9…6ed8backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79c…2be5backed Yes | 24c | 270.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9e…0792backed No | 78c | 258.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8491…fe5dbacked No | 77c | 254.78$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 24c | 208.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked No | 76c | 188.77$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 65c | 175.65$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 78c | 154.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 147.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 135.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 75c | 135$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e94…4ed6backed Yes | 23c | 134$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…6355backed Yes | 23c | 119$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 22c | 104.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Yes | 79c | 90.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…1730backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…c70dbacked No | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Yes | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…2373backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343e…2849backed Yes | 23c | 69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…6e25backed Yes | 24c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 78c | 63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a8c6backed No | 77c | 59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…2d18backed No | 77c | 59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…9943backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 40.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…31eebacked No | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc69…a95bbacked No | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…42b7backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906c…8069backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…93c9backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…8bdabacked No | 77c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…cb4bbacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…c736backed No | 76c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…7b35backed No | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…0d4bbacked No | 76c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…f88abacked No | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…295bbacked No | 76c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4a6abacked No | 76c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…1f32backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…3747backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…9293backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3530…223abacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…b224backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…cdb9backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…10e5backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…83cfbacked No | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5e…330bbacked No | 77c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbae…a79dbacked No | 77c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille end in a draw?this page
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04?No won
- Will Lille win on 2025-03-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.