TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,881 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes59c7,318$4,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,321.1121037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No37c5,539$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,489.365448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No36c5,280$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,353.325853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes52c4,047$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.5936851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes63c3,968$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes62c3,300$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.541330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No39c3,203$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.0939842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…1601backed Yes63c3,175$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7109643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No41c3,000$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.9940222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Yes76c2,501$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.491266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked No42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.475731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2202152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No52c1,703$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.4430754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes61c1,639$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Yes60c1,574$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.551145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Yes61c1,400$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8541233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No39c1,328$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.575754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes27c1,106$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc4…cae6backed No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6103100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2edf…8475backed Yes61c999.5$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes10c929.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.419244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No41c731.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.8744955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa933…6077backed Yes59c690.67$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.31723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid+186.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa18…5422backed Yes60c663$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Yes60c567.93$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.761050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes67c507.16$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.2612862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No38c507.1$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.417658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31012956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30519645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No39c499.96$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9723942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes59c480.04$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.228748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes58c474.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.496060%36 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed42…7718backed No38c474.95$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.47977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes60c436.89$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26220667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No38c409.09$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.5946956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked No39c399$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.381546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No44c352.22$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2416836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e8…4ea9backed Yes57c346$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes39c336.82$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes60c336.01$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.42988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+95.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xacd8…e908backed Yes47c329.9$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.781457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…7b3cbacked Yes59c313$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffd…e62cbacked Yes61c311.07$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes61c309.1$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f6f…b17fbacked Yes63c285.71$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes60c274.5$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.71838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No41c268.35$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1429136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes59c260$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.332540%10 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f57…e7a8backed Yes58c259$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff5e…72f9backed No39c256.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes54c217.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0125735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf7b…dd7bbacked No45c213.67$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked No25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+65.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11834449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.59350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Yes59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3390…95d6backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-66.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63d8…b86abacked No41c178.22$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004f…46e8backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd180…0989backed No41c154.37$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24f…9bbebacked Yes60c144$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6b…5209backed No42c141.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8de…e7a0backed No45c138.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05fe…022ebacked Yes59c134.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edd…8363backed No41c134$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de6…0fcfbacked Yes58c131.72$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0d9…45cabacked No44c131.71$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a5…3b86backed Yes61c131.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca49backed No45c128.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes62c124.64$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.022347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.810040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No39c119.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5918758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2fb…f8f1backed Yes58c119$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5228…268abacked Yes58c118$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes61c110$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47eb…773abacked No42c110$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1aa…d497backed No42c110$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e0…6aeabacked No42c109$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6719…3d50backed No42c109$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8559…c212backed No42c109$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd04…bf2cbacked No42c109$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe175…bf88backed No42c109$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfd…1c3fbacked No42c108$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa896…6546backed No42c108$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffa2…c146backed No42c108$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1751…54f1backed No42c108$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f5…68a4backed No42c108$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc926…effabacked No42c107$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e41…f88bbacked No42c107$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x297a…9370backed No42c107$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2522…6ee1backed No42c107$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d81…88f9backed No42c107$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…b04cbacked No42c106$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.