TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Rockets, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$307,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$332,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e78…5f8ebacked Rockets80c22,500$17,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,949.94560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+86.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets38c17,666$6,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,960.533,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a8…b139backed Rockets76c17,002$12,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-58.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked Rockets78c13,428$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5004575.6%34 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Nets49c12,085$5,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,14347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Rockets72c11,436$8,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,279.9413140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Nets21c10,278$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,121.327349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c44…91b6backed Nets24c10,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,600560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+69.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets21c9,800$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,699.9946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets80c7,845$6,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,244.891,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2387…6613backed Nets23c6,998$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,388.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+105.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets51c6,469$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.6749849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Nets20c5,635$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50847542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets21c5,342$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,195.371,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets7c5,087$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.811,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Rockets51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5507248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Rockets47c4,956$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.8934532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Rockets45c4,936$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.1672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets72c4,740$3,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.3165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Nets71c4,112$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.543369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+47.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Nets22c4,108$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.8815741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockets78c4,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1201,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Nets22c4,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1309038.9%35 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cfd…9227backed Nets22c3,500$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa9…c084backed Rockets77c3,500$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.971650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockets67c3,430$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.055,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets24c3,137$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.816532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets20c3,055$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.3540627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Nets20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.9930826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6746…5bfdbacked Rockets57c2,455$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets56c2,404$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.851,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets79c2,340$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.4796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Nets29c2,223$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.228122.2%18 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66f9…d179backed Rockets79c2,106$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Rockets78c2,101$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.8843653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rockets1c2,100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.077502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Nets22c2,100$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.991855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9b…a66dbacked Rockets64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Nets47c1,961$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.769572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Rockets80c1,806$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.5414057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets20c1,769$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.591,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Rockets56c1,713$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.139437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets23c1,695$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.3177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Nets21c1,500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.7873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Nets20c1,412$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.917047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Nets21c1,386$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.9430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…ca9abacked Rockets78c1,343$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.83475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cde…038abacked Nets20c1,300$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+200%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Rockets79c1,277$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.719164.9%124 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Rockets45c1,275$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.0345647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nets20c1,248$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.7187647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Rockets41c1,246$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.7611834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Rockets53c1,086$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.326347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Nets23c1,050$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.484022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Nets42c1,043$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.7829450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets77c963.97$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.2657760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…ec44backed Nets20c900$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Rockets77c899.97$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.982343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rockets14c866$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.41,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets19c803.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.541,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets23c800$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6161,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Nets22c800$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62433945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Nets22c799.87$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.936434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets52c760.81$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Nets52c714.29$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.298252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0041…e598backed Nets28c713.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.032445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Nets63c670.99$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Rockets79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets22c630.41$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.841,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Nets20c577.36$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1457…a4b3backed Nets32c558.52$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…7c82backed Rockets76c546.05$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+35.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Rockets77c540$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.812663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…50c7backed Rockets45c532.25$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Nets34c529.37$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.3745135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Nets20c525$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42036643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Rockets78c524.99$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.452272.7%16 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick74cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rockets77c509$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9364517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets23c505$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Nets23c500$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38535046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6442…2163backed Nets26c493.94$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.944738.3%18 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Rockets52c460.58$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8224329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Nets20c450.01$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.017636.8%28 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nets21c435.82$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.6888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87ef…2c77backed Nets23c434.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.792352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Nets33c410.62$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.8947229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Rockets77c400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30824549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Rockets42c399.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812334.1%42 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Rockets72c399.99$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9923835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Nets58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8347357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Nets31c329.94$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8356352%293 W · 270 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Rockets80c321$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.815763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Nets22c312.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.765628.6%16 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+104.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Rockets49c309.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.326235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8134…bf1abacked Nets24c306.38$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f58…9c6abacked Rockets77c300$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets38c286.07$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.