TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$277,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3348…45ccbacked Blues1c65,395$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd11…1071backed Blues1c58,472$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f0…53d1backed Blues1c55,914$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2f…f5b2backed Blues1c40,294$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a8…b139backed Oilers62c19,895$12,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,559.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd673…0c20backed Blues38c19,886$7,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,556.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues38c2,470$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.111,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blues24c2,282$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.531,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Oilers17c1,986$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.8785464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers78c1,777$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.961,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers62c1,650$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Oilers75c1,364$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.453650%18 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Oilers65c1,141$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.9123761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blues4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oilers62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a90…8dacbacked Oilers62c969.92$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Blues38c964.94$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.682050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Blues2c943.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.871816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers62c823.99$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.1175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x324a…d868backed Oilers14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers63c513.51$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19049351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blues37c504.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers48c465.69$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.293,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blues37c459.58$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.041,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8659…9178backed Oilers49c435.53$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.126041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Blues35c429.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3729847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf918…81f9backed Oilers63c373.92$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.351346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Blues44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Blues38c284.21$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10862944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Oilers59c258.42$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.952259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Blues39c257.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Oilers44c254.42$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8932331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Blues37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.513756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers62c231.59$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Oilers56c183.3$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6537254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1354…318ebacked Oilers62c161.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers62c160.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.651,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Blues38c131.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Blues38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44fc…abb4backed Blues39c113.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c4f…df58backed Blues38c110.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Blues37c107.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.429251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d37…906abacked Blues39c102.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Blues39c100.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Oilers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Blues38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Oilers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4472448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Oilers62c99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1361…501ebacked Oilers63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.241637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ac…c70dbacked Blues38c94.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Blues30c92.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2834032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5c…7f36backed Oilers63c90.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95a6…8080backed Blues38c89.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Oilers79c84.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc8…8baabacked Blues39c81.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06b1…fe5ebacked Blues39c79.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Blues38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blues71c78.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6691334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Oilers65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9245954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9db…11d1backed Blues39c76.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73c7…dc64backed Blues39c75.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07f…ad9dbacked Oilers62c75.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd07d…8a68backed Oilers62c74.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1720…ef36backed Blues38c73.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb734…502cbacked Oilers63c73.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.021963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73dc…983fbacked Blues38c70.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0c…3222backed Oilers62c68.28$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Blues38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blues38c64.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.741,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5d…13f3backed Oilers62c62.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.613100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bc4…8c38backed Oilers62c58.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.249567.4%64 W · 31 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df9…6377backed Oilers63c58.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Blues35c57.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4725…cac8backed Oilers63c55.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7695…f919backed Blues38c54.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x420f…4582backed Oilers62c54.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cf…c7f5backed Blues38c52.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…25d8backed Blues38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4c…f028backed Blues38c50.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x250a…5c65backed Oilers64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa66e…eecbbacked Blues38c48.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf37…884ebacked Oilers63c47.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9af…06bcbacked Oilers57c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.954100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e1c…2ce3backed Oilers62c45.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.27650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x345c…2135backed Blues39c44.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.462454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da1…b582backed Oilers63c43.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd000…8ef8backed Oilers62c42.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b2…22ecbacked Oilers62c42.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Oilers62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.276450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ea…2dd0backed Oilers63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.682857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7efb…b863backed Blues37c39.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5850%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcca2…a24fbacked Blues39c39.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e06…fcbfbacked Oilers63c38.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…b4f6backed Blues38c37.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a83…29fbbacked Oilers62c37.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.39560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0175…3b9abacked Oilers63c37.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+75.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0849…1eacbacked Blues37c37.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1507…b280backed Blues39c36.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.141353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Blues51c35.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3513655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.