TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Red Wings, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf920…0559backed Panthers64c38,585$24,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,890.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x964e…a040backed Red Wings36c29,810$10,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,731.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fa…a4e1backed Red Wings36c27,038$9,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,733.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56bb…5637backed Panthers64c23,561$15,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,481.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Red Wings35c12,979$4,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,517.7936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb22…f95bbacked Red Wings36c5,370$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Panthers65c2,888$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.3630549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Red Wings54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.95534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers46c1,990$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.61,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Panthers65c1,793$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.443852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers65c1,541$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.4672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Panthers65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4627958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers64c1,475$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.8492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Red Wings36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers64c1,270$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.81,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers65c1,200$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.9884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Panthers66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77f5…84bcbacked Panthers65c900$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Panthers66c808.41$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8631753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed Red Wings35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Panthers65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2808536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings34c789.18$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.321,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328b…566bbacked Red Wings36c541.67$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Panthers64c499.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18049351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Panthers65c499.98$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9913158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Panthers65c440$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1549064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e64…5686backed Red Wings36c358.33$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Panthers65c336.5$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.779251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers65c311.04$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Panthers64c299.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10820649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Panthers64c299.98$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9911751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Panthers68c294.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.267071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Panthers65c279.48$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8239752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6f…ea97backed Red Wings36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers66c222$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Panthers79c201.9$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.915470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ac…0ac3backed Panthers66c181.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.821050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Panthers65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8512556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Panthers66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38c…1ddabacked Red Wings36c140.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.531258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Red Wings36c139.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…1f2cbacked Red Wings36c133.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.11966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3986…187ebacked Red Wings36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings14c108.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Red Wings34c106.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0138744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Panthers65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3535154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Panthers66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3426059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Red Wings35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3581846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5826…42b9backed Red Wings36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Red Wings36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3660042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Panthers66c99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6620861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80c9…5a03backed Red Wings36c94.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eee…2782backed Panthers65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3111456.1%64 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9710…f3e1backed Red Wings35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings35c84.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea4…c579backed Panthers65c83.12$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777c…49a1backed Panthers65c82.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84e…2d6ebacked Panthers65c79.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.741464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd1…cfccbacked Panthers65c79.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.72933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2465…64abbacked Red Wings36c78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.081050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b0…9da7backed Panthers66c77.09$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.215164.7%33 W · 18 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+42.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x698c…1d14backed Red Wings36c75.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.352138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Panthers66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.769755.7%54 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x074b…268bbacked Panthers65c74.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e18…a49cbacked Red Wings36c72.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.021060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Red Wings35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed Panthers64c69.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8da2…50d2backed Panthers65c67.54$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe790…9568backed Panthers66c63.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.641435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Red Wings36c62.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.642536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8549…7a72backed Red Wings35c62.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89f4…5b21backed Panthers65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d4…ae49backed Panthers65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.545080%40 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8cb…c4d4backed Panthers66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd92e…e32bbacked Panthers58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f36…7e51backed Red Wings42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Red Wings33c57.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0713845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Red Wings35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Red Wings55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31cb…95a9backed Panthers65c54.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+44.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d3…3917backed Red Wings35c51.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182045%9 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bcb…a70ebacked Red Wings36c50.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.322462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc875…70f0backed Panthers65c50.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbacb…f84dbacked Panthers65c50.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…c70dbacked Red Wings36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Panthers66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1717363%109 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9298…9e5bbacked Panthers65c49.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84a…e3e7backed Panthers65c49.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x982b…e3f3backed Panthers65c40.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.022352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf78…b82dbacked Red Wings36c39.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.262343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae03…4726backed Red Wings36c38.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.021540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e2f…3697backed Red Wings36c38.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.772536%9 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Panthers67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3112369.9%86 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0050…11adbacked Panthers65c35.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.542857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a9…d876backed Red Wings36c35.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x535b…0129backed Red Wings36c33.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.221855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.