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NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x945e…2acabacked Flames0c4,718$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.228950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche58c2,265$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.281,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flames32c1,852$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.663,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Flames33c1,428$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2732331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb63d…9dd6backed Avalanche61c1,301$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.391782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.0wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+57.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xce13…a213backed Flames39c1,300$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.991650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Flames58c989.97$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.3613241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc575…3fb1backed Avalanche41c953$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.27922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flames22c941.55$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Flames40c699.97$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flames40c504.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Avalanche60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Flames42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche57c305.06$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0549351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Flames42c285.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Flames42c285.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…418fbacked Avalanche60c260$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Flames41c241.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Flames42c238.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Flames42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Flames56c235.88$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.61,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ee…7501backed Flames43c225.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf9…357abacked Flames42c220.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames20c187.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche59c175.69$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche61c164.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.151,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Flames40c154.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7213756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3681…ec4bbacked Flames42c130.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325d…515cbacked Flames42c127.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.37850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Flames62c126.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.382661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5e…22f2backed Avalanche60c125.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Flames40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Flames42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98ae…85febacked Avalanche61c113.66$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.331963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Avalanche46c109.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5738040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e26…c15fbacked Avalanche60c101.82$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flames39c101.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e80…791fbacked Flames60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce8…53eabacked Avalanche76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…0426backed Avalanche77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bb…b002backed Flames24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16e9…9ae6backed Flames23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2459…6437backed Avalanche40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c0…6576backed Avalanche60c90.47$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b44…f8b9backed Avalanche59c89.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa46a…98bdbacked Flames42c87.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.66650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6444…57c3backed Avalanche60c85.3$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche59c84.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.731,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf2…960dbacked Avalanche59c84.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d45…117bbacked Flames42c81.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.161172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9114…993bbacked Flames40c78.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…3bfebacked Avalanche60c77.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdc…79acbacked Flames42c76.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.16922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-57%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x303a…511fbacked Avalanche61c76.31$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…7205backed Avalanche60c75.48$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.19850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d2…37f1backed Flames40c74.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3a…e61abacked Avalanche61c73.85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fea…d383backed Avalanche44c70.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.721838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db6…d160backed Flames41c66.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b2…de79backed Flames40c66.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…1a48backed Flames41c65.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55e…867ebacked Avalanche61c65.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7be2…fd35backed Avalanche61c65.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c6e…919cbacked Avalanche60c65.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Avalanche59c63.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Flames41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Flames41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Flames37c51.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1916447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…c70dbacked Avalanche61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfe…9e3bbacked Flames40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2db4…f62abacked Flames41c49.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26a0…2253backed Flames41c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd59…9e70backed Avalanche59c47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed Avalanche46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Avalanche72c41.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.958863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4aa…6c05backed Avalanche60c41.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b3…1d4dbacked Flames40c41.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f72…1abfbacked Avalanche61c41.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.12955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3be3…8e93backed Flames41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d8…9a77backed Avalanche65c39.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.87861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Avalanche59c39.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0722842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4acd…9aedbacked Flames40c37.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b2…a28dbacked Avalanche59c37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce4…85e3backed Flames41c37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a13…52adbacked Avalanche59c36.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x099c…9445backed Flames41c36.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b7…9ccfbacked Flames41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44d…c87bbacked Flames41c36.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd966…53c8backed Avalanche59c36.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames30c35.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0175…3b9abacked Flames41c35.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+75.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b86…923bbacked Avalanche58c35.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ad…c58cbacked Avalanche55c35.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x121e…8de7backed Flames45c35.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf7…7bdebacked Flames42c35.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc8…033dbacked Flames41c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd2…cc60backed Flames35c33.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34e5…b524backed Avalanche66c32.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…0639backed Avalanche59c32.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d08…7126backed Flames41c32.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.