NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33f0a889eb1fd95b4b80d439aad7fc8f73057de2bf2ee1922f3184d2cd1565b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 77c | 16,103$12,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775.4 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 21c | 11,500$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 28c | 11,104$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.6 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Raptors | 21c | 8,714$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.04 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Raptors | 20c | 7,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Grizzlies | 79c | 6,918$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.71 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 5,167$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.44 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 4,500$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.35 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 71c | 3,304$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Grizzlies | 70c | 3,294$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.47 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors | 20c | 3,044$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 78c | 2,500$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.48 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 2,353$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.96 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Raptors | 25c | 2,350$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 78c | 2,219$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.34 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 24c | 2,061$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.39 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…40a5backed Grizzlies | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Grizzlies | 67c | 1,801$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.12 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Raptors | 15c | 1,789$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Raptors | 21c | 1,520$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Raptors | 25c | 1,494$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 75c | 1,403$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.27 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…16adbacked Raptors | 20c | 1,300$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…7dc6backed Grizzlies | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Raptors | 21c | 1,286$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 80c | 1,238$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.6 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Raptors | 24c | 1,203$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors | 22c | 1,062$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Raptors | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Raptors | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Raptors | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Raptors | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899b…fbdfbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 895.25$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Raptors | 15c | 883$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…c024backed Raptors | 20c | 850.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 78c | 849.99$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Grizzlies | 80c | 825$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…bd12backed Raptors | 25c | 754$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Grizzlies | 75c | 718.53$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.63 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Raptors | 28c | 715.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors | 25c | 714.55$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…893ebacked Grizzlies | 77c | 621.93$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Grizzlies | 76c | 615.23$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.53 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 25c | 555$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Grizzlies | 63c | 539.86$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Grizzlies | 72c | 518.91$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.92 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors | 2c | 516.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Raptors | 10c | 514.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors | 22c | 504.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 24c | 501.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Raptors | 23c | 499.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 493.89$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Raptors | 20c | 492.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Raptors | 26c | 486.8$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.66 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Grizzlies | 78c | 480.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Raptors | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 466.74$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Grizzlies | 77c | 442.35$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…4d3ebacked Raptors | 20c | 420.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…6c5abacked Grizzlies | 76c | 411.98$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 409.24$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Raptors | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 75c | 376.32$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…2456backed Grizzlies | 70c | 348.48$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 346$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Raptors | 29c | 342.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…130abacked Grizzlies | 76c | 342$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 4c | 332.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Raptors | 26c | 331.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Raptors | 23c | 309.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Grizzlies | 76c | 299.97$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Grizzlies | 78c | 288$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Grizzlies | 73c | 273.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Raptors | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Raptors | 21c | 244.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab97…956ebacked Raptors | 31c | 239.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked Raptors | 20c | 232.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 228$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Raptors | 23c | 217.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Raptors | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…9cd4backed Grizzlies | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09a9…dd6abacked Raptors | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies | 76c | 184.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1700…da7fbacked Raptors | 21c | 184.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…32e8backed Raptors | 21c | 181.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…135bbacked Raptors | 21c | 176.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…0e4dbacked Raptors | 21c | 174.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Raptors | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…c340backed Raptors | 31c | 161.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Raptors | 19c | 161.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…63afbacked Raptors | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Grizzlies | 78c | 153$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.