NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x211cec819e166b0ab363cbaa8fd00fcd27178d5184c57d13cffcb2078e4c3646
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Utah, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Utah | 42c | 39,999$16,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,764.57 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 60c | 17,009$10,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,834.06 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Utah | 39c | 15,200$5,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,867.9 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 58c | 7,800$4,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Oilers | 58c | 7,507$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.14 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…9ce2backed Utah | 3c | 4,866$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Oilers | 58c | 4,086$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.12 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah | 4c | 4,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers | 58c | 2,760$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.2 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Oilers | 58c | 2,750$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Oilers | 60c | 2,033$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.06 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Oilers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Utah | 39c | 1,999$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Oilers | 57c | 1,722$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.59 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 60c | 1,617$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Oilers | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Oilers | 57c | 1,249$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.71 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…fc4ebacked Oilers | 59c | 1,203$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Utah | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oilers | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Utah | 42c | 920.41$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.07 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Oilers | 59c | 910.17$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.17 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Utah | 41c | 907.1$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.79 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Utah | 43c | 897.66$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 58c | 765.76$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.29 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Utah | 2c | 754.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Oilers | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Oilers | 59c | 630$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Oilers | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah | 43c | 601$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.43 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 58c | 493.43$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.24 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…c31cbacked Utah | 42c | 445.24$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad7…ff3bbacked Utah | 42c | 428.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Oilers | 62c | 396.77$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Oilers | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Oilers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Oilers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…86f3backed Utah | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Utah | 4c | 331.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…7673backed Utah | 39c | 307.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Utah | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers | 58c | 276$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Oilers | 60c | 249.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…3b5fbacked Utah | 43c | 247.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Oilers | 61c | 244.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb9…ee09backed Utah | 41c | 235.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…7175backed Utah | 44c | 231.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…56f4backed Utah | 43c | 222.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…7702backed Utah | 43c | 218.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…0ab9backed Oilers | 58c | 192.09$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…bde1backed Oilers | 59c | 189.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…e263backed Oilers | 59c | 186.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Oilers | 75c | 180.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…08a6backed Oilers | 60c | 177.42$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Utah | 42c | 176.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Oilers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Oilers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Oilers | 60c | 171.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab2…b7aabacked Oilers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…2468backed Oilers | 58c | 168.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…4684backed Oilers | 58c | 168.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Oilers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…28ddbacked Oilers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Oilers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Oilers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Oilers | 59c | 153.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…3204backed Oilers | 62c | 153.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…ea9abacked Oilers | 59c | 152.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…9c0cbacked Utah | 43c | 147.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…e8b4backed Oilers | 58c | 142.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…eb0abacked Oilers | 58c | 142$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Oilers | 59c | 138.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Oilers | 58c | 131.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Oilers | 57c | 130.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…33b3backed Oilers | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…117bbacked Utah | 42c | 128.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd6…c621backed Utah | 43c | 115.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Oilers | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Oilers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Oilers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Utah | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Oilers | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Utah | 14c | 96.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…576bbacked Utah | 42c | 94.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…fc79backed Utah | 43c | 90.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0765…e6e5backed Oilers | 58c | 89.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d9…2a8ebacked Utah | 43c | 88.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Utah | 41c | 88.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6022…e516backed Utah | 43c | 88.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1d…003dbacked Oilers | 59c | 86.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…c70dbacked Oilers | 59c | 86.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0b2bbacked Utah | 43c | 86.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Oilers | 62c | 84.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…8794backed Utah | 42c | 83.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Oilers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.