TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Monaco win on 2025-02-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,774

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x242f…986cbacked No75c21,000$15,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,250366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+59.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…2afabacked Yes25c9,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…4981backed Yes25c7,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9889…3e00backed Yes25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes33c4,207$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c4,160$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04040222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No75c3,401$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.335754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes71c3,013$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.2325450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed No77c2,802$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd456…5755backed Yes24c2,699$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d09…3dcebacked No76c2,699$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+220.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No65c2,656$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.755853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No51c2,068$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.219244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes24c2,000$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.789643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d74…b1ffbacked Yes24c1,603$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53d5…0121backed No76c1,603$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No50c1,081$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.1730754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes26c1,019$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed No37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No75c900$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes25c900$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252020%4 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes24c772.63$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.433125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No76c710.53$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5311070%77 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes79c698.73$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5557055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No75c615.87$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.978748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e1…4fd3backed No70c567.75$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes30c508.01$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.683324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No75c445.84$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4644955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7f…1bd6backed Yes24c415.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13620462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes77c377$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2917466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No29c375.12$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3412737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac1…b2a7backed Yes25c349.96$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes33c324.3$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0216447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes26c201.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes25c200.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c00…003abacked Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5240%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd046…e564backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+132.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No63c192.69$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.336851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No50c159.47$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0739842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2df…45f9backed Yes24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5818650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes23c127.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1916836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes24c123.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No75c121.96$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4912359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No75c112.78$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3246956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No75c104$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2617658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab5…63a1backed Yes45c103.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.43520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6925735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2534449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes24c99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.764531.1%14 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Yes78c98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.441566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7554…38e2backed Yes25c97.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.491822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes22c84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.111635.3%41 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb943…30a6backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes25c80.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe191…3e92backed Yes27c74.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c73.64$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.538356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2240…e529backed Yes26c71.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No75c53.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6828357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ac…c70dbacked No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1187backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed No68c49.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.091457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6879…a58dbacked No78c43.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d8…36b1backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f51…af3bbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf698…c74bbacked No76c39.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.54560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8924455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No74c30.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.94050%20 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb237…39e1backed No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081b…dac7backed No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Yes63c22.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.891546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bb…12ccbacked No76c21.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd1…ee30backed No76c21.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5769…a5dabacked No77c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1888…9b52backed No76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0f…63e4backed No77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8e…b6eabacked No77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.