TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Benfica vs. Monaco end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,279 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf699…07e1backed Yes25c5,394$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.3420462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No69c4,500$3,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.455853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Yes22c3,456$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.333961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked No78c3,205$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick75cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b6…c3bfbacked Yes23c2,874$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+183.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce1…7dafbacked No77c2,874$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+123.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Yes24c2,846$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.081844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked No80c2,805$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No76c2,332$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.1312359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes73c2,275$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.897055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No56c2,142$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.9330754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d74…b1ffbacked Yes23c1,802$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b47…4500backed No77c1,802$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes23c1,682$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.1112921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Yes24c1,362$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.261442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21e7…5e93backed Yes75c1,271$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.82977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No12c1,122$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3239842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes27c1,105$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.531338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No36c856$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.119244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes36c824.65$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.532050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc797…3a1cbacked Yes23c689.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+181.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb2…3f22backed No77c689.99$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+60.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes26c689.15$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.084235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes75c677.63$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.418452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes22c483.26$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.4716836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0506…73d7backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No10c410.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.761020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4800…b310backed No78c400$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes14c400$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3442119%4 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x922c…31d7backed No78c384.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x548c…3229backed Yes24c359.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+308.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb8d…22c0backed No78c353.14$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+164.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8498…d219backed Yes29c346.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.88450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+144.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1147742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3763…cf46backed Yes23c288$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed No75c250$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.52176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f44…d453backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes23c217.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.362420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes28c214.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.298348.2%40 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes62c204$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5217466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2432…ae39backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+91.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes75c192.38$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0912862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47b2…f12fbacked No77c177$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes75c177$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449341.9%39 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a5…4032backed Yes23c157.11$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.971145.5%5 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick14cpaid+206.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa954…bfdabacked No77c150.65$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25de…a006backed Yes24c150$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Yes24c150$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a47…f730backed Yes23c142$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dbe…c800backed Yes23c133$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1f6…2478backed No77c121$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No76c111.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6117658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Yes66c105.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.381566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes23c100.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0311635.3%41 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaedb…3de3backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+166.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No76c99.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9634449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes22c99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.224531.1%14 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed No77c87.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.24988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.962931%9 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…872fbacked Yes23c85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe200…15d6backed Yes23c83.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x541d…fdcfbacked No77c82$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa295…1a3dbacked Yes23c79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No77c72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.441546.7%7 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No76c71.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5946956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01f8…21f8backed Yes73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed No72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4be8…e00abacked Yes78c66.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes24c63.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.264619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd06a…0fb2backed Yes24c62.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fd…d003backed No77c62.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes25c60.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.192128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7554…38e2backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1268…d0b7backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c4…fc20backed Yes23c54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x315f…80b3backed Yes23c52.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd25…adefbacked No77c45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f98…4cc0backed No77c43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0871…eaf8backed No77c42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0323…bd13backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ea…5a08backed No77c37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908d…b6aebacked Yes44c36.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No76c35.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3528357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcd3…3a66backed Yes70c34.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de2…35d1backed No77c34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe1…4268backed No77c32.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4b2…fbefbacked No77c32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a93…cf70backed No77c31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7f…1bd6backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3d…769dbacked No77c27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd413…2b9abacked No77c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x942e…1ca4backed No77c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd9…f7a5backed No77c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…67adbacked No78c21.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ff…1c5abacked No77c19.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06f3…7855backed No78c19.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.