TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Pelicans, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59f3…b682backed Pelicans28c154,000$43,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,12010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e7…de49backed Suns72c154,000$110,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,120450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Suns72c20,790$14,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,895.31,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6178…f9a9backed Pelicans24c16,719$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns76c10,002$7,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Pelicans4c9,744$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.3720031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans29c8,100$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.981,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans23c8,077$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans0c7,964$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.118783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4219…850ebacked Pelicans28c7,762$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pelicans12c7,329$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.9434532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Pelicans1c6,056$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Suns70c4,569$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.981,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Suns77c3,677$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.637448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Suns73c3,156$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.177860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Pelicans15c2,590$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.9821723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pelicans16c2,475$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Suns76c2,346$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.2733931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe408…232bbacked Pelicans4c2,244$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.426847.1%32 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Suns77c2,150$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.530351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Pelicans29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58012540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee9a…529abacked Suns73c1,915$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.07850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pelicans23c1,897$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.8550245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Suns75c1,895$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans25c1,769$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.71,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pelicans27c1,763$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.0130440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Suns69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46519448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8df…2521backed Pelicans29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+61.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaae…8a95backed Suns71c1,491$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans14c1,476$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.113,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Suns70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.578851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e7d…5151backed Pelicans28c1,421$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3981060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Suns77c1,384$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.3219845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Suns73c1,330$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.9888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Pelicans23c1,315$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30345135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Pelicans23c1,300$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29930826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Suns72c1,224$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.3318354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Suns75c1,203$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.6476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f17…c521backed Suns77c1,118$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa5…f7b9backed Pelicans23c1,110$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.281225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c4…8441backed Suns79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Pelicans22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Suns77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1385…7097backed Pelicans10c999.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Pelicans25c999.75$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9432130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Pelicans17c850$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14436423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd761…8e1dbacked Suns78c843.84$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.191675%12 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Suns77c836$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans23c831$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.131,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Suns74c799.99$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20840448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Pelicans26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Pelicans5c700$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Suns76c665.29$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0270951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans25c638.41$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8887647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Suns80c628.61$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.613043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176b…a16fbacked Suns78c576.92$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.921275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb433…3ad5backed Pelicans21c511.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.444431.8%14 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa67…0ef4backed Pelicans4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208016.3%13 W · 67 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf981…01edbacked Pelicans5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Suns70c499.99$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14845743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef4b…bdc9backed Pelicans28c493$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.04742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans15c479.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Pelicans25c442.63$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8273647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Pelicans26c420.54$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.348252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Pelicans24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Suns69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12450453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Pelicans30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12036434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ffd…d225backed Pelicans8c381.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013043.8%57 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans28c378$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.842,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Pelicans26c304.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.447935.4%28 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Pelicans24c283.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3622733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Pelicans23c273$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0162349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Pelicans26c269.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8946342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9cb…9bd6backed Pelicans31c258.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c4…470bbacked Suns78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4121562.8%135 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Pelicans12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc2…0d74backed Pelicans31c238.68$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pelicans26c231.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.231,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a2…ce75backed Suns70c211.41$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+68.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffe…f83ebacked Pelicans24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Pelicans24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcabe…72e3backed Pelicans10c203.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+54.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9730…4504backed Pelicans30c199.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.999334.4%32 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d7…c215backed Suns77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc850…f772backed Suns77c185.71$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc319…eb75backed Pelicans24c182.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fff…d384backed Suns79c170.81$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.872458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Pelicans24c169.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8828…437dbacked Suns77c157.14$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Pelicans21c143.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Suns70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc5…d4a2backed Suns77c136.36$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Suns75c135.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.164643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7f…6c30backed Pelicans24c132.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb23…3fcabacked Pelicans24c131.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4792…db6cbacked Pelicans24c130.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.371258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Suns70c129.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.31580%12 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Suns77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8789353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.