NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7115689d102a8b9801a8d581b4181ae049d3ba8cc67ae41e6b3c204aaea127d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Capitals, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Capitals | 29c | 52,983$15,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,373.73 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e2…ea00backed Capitals | 32c | 34,330$10,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,985.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4446backed Hurricanes | 68c | 33,150$22,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,608 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Hurricanes | 69c | 29,313$20,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Hurricanes | 68c | 23,218$15,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,430.52 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Hurricanes | 66c | 21,875$14,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,484.97 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Capitals | 32c | 17,000$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,370 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Hurricanes | 64c | 15,061$9,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.57 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hurricanes | 68c | 11,100$7,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.99 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Capitals | 22c | 10,444$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Capitals | 21c | 10,102$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.58 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Capitals | 30c | 9,317$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.89 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 34c | 8,990$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.95 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 8,409$5,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.2 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Capitals | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hurricanes | 70c | 7,806$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.42 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hurricanes | 71c | 7,774$5,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.56 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Capitals | 31c | 7,188$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.6 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Hurricanes | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Capitals | 31c | 6,553$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.17 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 32c | 6,444$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.66 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Hurricanes | 69c | 6,334$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.54 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 24c | 6,000$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.39 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Capitals | 31c | 5,388$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.7 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Capitals | 32c | 5,039$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.42 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 5,011$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.3 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Hurricanes | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Hurricanes | 69c | 4,594$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.82 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 68c | 4,524$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 34c | 4,507$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.91 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Capitals | 34c | 4,204$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.5 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Capitals | 35c | 3,841$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.34 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Capitals | 37c | 3,784$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 32c | 3,333$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Capitals | 36c | 3,232$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.49 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Capitals | 31c | 2,876$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.55 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Capitals | 36c | 2,323$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Capitals | 31c | 2,200$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 32c | 2,171$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.6 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…f43abacked Capitals | 36c | 2,100$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Capitals | 2c | 2,078$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Capitals | 34c | 2,049$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.63 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Hurricanes | 68c | 2,041$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Capitals | 20c | 2,018$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Capitals | 34c | 1,919$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.05 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…16adbacked Capitals | 35c | 1,800$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Capitals | 26c | 1,647$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Capitals | 33c | 1,612$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed Capitals | 34c | 1,603$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…ef4bbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Hurricanes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…4efebacked Capitals | 34c | 1,478$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd5…6962backed Hurricanes | 68c | 1,180$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…7ee7backed Hurricanes | 64c | 1,158$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hurricanes | 68c | 1,093$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.76 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Hurricanes | 63c | 1,011$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Capitals | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Capitals | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Capitals | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Capitals | 34c | 986.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.57 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…15e5backed Hurricanes | 64c | 942$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…2c93backed Hurricanes | 66c | 917$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hurricanes | 66c | 900.74$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.18 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Capitals | 26c | 894.24$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…74e0backed Hurricanes | 66c | 883$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Capitals | 29c | 881.25$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Capitals | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Capitals | 10c | 825$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Capitals | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Capitals | 2c | 753$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 25c | 732.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Capitals | 29c | 698.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Capitals | 26c | 604.56$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Capitals | 16c | 586.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Capitals | 34c | 582.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Capitals | 34c | 559.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…bae9backed Capitals | 32c | 555.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…a7b9backed Hurricanes | 67c | 549.41$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Capitals | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Capitals | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Capitals | 21c | 480.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Capitals | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Capitals | 35c | 428.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Capitals | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Capitals | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Hurricanes | 69c | 391.27$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Hurricanes | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Hurricanes | 68c | 370$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Hurricanes | 69c | 362.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Capitals | 32c | 362$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Capitals | 35c | 355$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Capitals | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 20c | 340.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Capitals | 32c | 308.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…31a8backed Capitals | 32c | 307.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Capitals | 33c | 301.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d9…ef84backed Capitals | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8467…d8aebacked Capitals | 33c | 299$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes | 68c | 294.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.