Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc12ad2b356aae1e5f13d5901f35f5f7384dcaa7aa1fdf3270640dec57684485a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 2,822$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.97 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 75c | 2,764$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.02 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 76c | 850.87$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.22 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 30c | 743.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…3e6abacked Yes | 29c | 488.64$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 29c | 484.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8491…fe5dbacked Yes | 29c | 420.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01e…f73abacked No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 22c | 405$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9e…0792backed No | 73c | 380.82$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…b08abacked Yes | 29c | 350$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes | 17c | 310.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 26c | 300.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 71c | 287.76$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 74c | 286.62$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…b7cfbacked Yes | 48c | 210.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Yes | 24c | 197$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked No | 71c | 178.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 70c | 146.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…0fb2backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…c70dbacked Yes | 28c | 136.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 60c | 119$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f5…e0d0backed Yes | 40c | 119$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…3de3backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…b566backed No | 71c | 94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…9f3bbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 88.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…374cbacked Yes | 28c | 85.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1187backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…e4bdbacked No | 73c | 71.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…890dbacked Yes | 29c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…38eabacked No | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84a…1dfebacked Yes | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…42d4backed Yes | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf449…4ba1backed Yes | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 74c | 57.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…6384backed No | 75c | 48.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…2461backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 27c | 38.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…8ff2backed Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5384backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4c…b5e1backed Yes | 44c | 24.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd1…ee30backed No | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-02-15?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.