Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc81b75b7925192393ba1f3f856f1e1b7c2da5734f4d6a805feadab99f53c888e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 70c | 22,160$15,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,609.68 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…9a34backed Yes | 30c | 16,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 30c | 10,058$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 70c | 9,304$6,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.02 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 72c | 6,717$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.86 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 6,408$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.92 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 19c | 4,440$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 4,182$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.81 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 14c | 3,951$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.16 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 28c | 3,831$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.32 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 30c | 3,750$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 30c | 3,337$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 71c | 2,844$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.54 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,682$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.46 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 29c | 2,586$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 1,712$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.96 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 1,499$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.12 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Yes | 29c | 1,400$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.51 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 71c | 1,250$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 1,059$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 12c | 1,001$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 990.82$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.45 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 76c | 772.65$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.81 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Yes | 17c | 757.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 29c | 731.53$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 28c | 722.47$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.29 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 29c | 695.9$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.82 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 30c | 634.4$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 16c | 631.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 567.96$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 71c | 566.55$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 30c | 533.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 29c | 516.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 28c | 495$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…590bbacked Yes | 29c | 465.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…7493backed Yes | 29c | 450$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 24c | 437.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 71c | 419$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 30c | 415$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…770ebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 30c | 331.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 72c | 306.55$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 5c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 26c | 258$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…8eb5backed Yes | 29c | 251.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 217.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 27c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…a2a0backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 180.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked No | 72c | 177.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…2dd0backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…b9a1backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 169.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97a…d3f7backed Yes | 29c | 167.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…980dbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…2f06backed Yes | 13c | 151.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…9f3bbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…df54backed Yes | 30c | 135.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 19c | 126.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 30c | 124.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…8aacbacked Yes | 29c | 120.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 28c | 117.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 29c | 112.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…e1d1backed Yes | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…6933backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f37…5b70backed No | 73c | 99.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…4e58backed No | 73c | 93.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed Yes | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 28c | 89.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…b743backed Yes | 24c | 87.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…c7d5backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…738ebacked No | 73c | 84.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-15?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.