TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2025-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed No31c5,524$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.5714732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes43c4,000$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.9432158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No37c2,361$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.5738645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes45c2,047$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.8679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes47c1,847$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.765829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes42c1,303$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.732138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes43c1,234$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.387839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes51c999.99$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No54c841.56$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.7979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a2…aea9backed No56c784.4$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes37c675.9$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.0929044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No55c585.09$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9516660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No56c564.29$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31615347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes43c499.75$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.865536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes37c450$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2828149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No56c421.44$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.840135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No54c365.5$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3713547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes46c356.43$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0713336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes46c326.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.533948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed No34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024959.2%29 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed No35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed No55c249.98$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.49933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc255…62f8backed Yes46c233.55$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3a9bbacked Yes45c224.55$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6425…b235backed Yes44c223.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes45c223$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6520447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2549…91f5backed Yes46c222.75$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes44c221.39$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb63f…793cbacked Yes45c221.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes46c219.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.455349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f1…fe6bbacked Yes80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc0…5cdbbacked No56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.992751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Yes45c182.2$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.396147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed No55c149.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.487241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…a5b1backed Yes44c144.55$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…8dfbbacked Yes44c143.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb4…44ebbacked No55c139$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed No36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2997…fb06backed No57c135.32$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+51.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cad…d424backed No55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5957…75edbacked Yes45c119.8$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb315…31b3backed No58c119.76$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x807b…89b7backed Yes46c114.74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.962634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1126247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Yes45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x311c…6b8bbacked Yes50c109.23$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab71…6f34backed Yes45c108.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.882123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ff2…6714backed Yes44c107.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb30c…7ab2backed No56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb3…858dbacked Yes45c104.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf46…3c69backed Yes46c103.59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2f…b4d3backed No57c101.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb664…9853backed No58c100.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5615636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6225339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No54c99.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5414754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6432822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdad0…8d6dbacked No57c99.51$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c1…6428backed No56c96.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…0e00backed No56c94.18$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7be…1be9backed Yes46c93.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6022…e516backed No56c92.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd384…1f22backed No56c90.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes33c90$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.34055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.418260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes48c88.91$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2314062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.894628.3%13 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff70…4563backed No56c88.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf794…d782backed No56c87.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No56c86.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5336845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x525b…3e1fbacked No56c85.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b1…3738backed No56c84.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d60…488abacked Yes54c83.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c8…6bf3backed Yes46c83.13$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x270d…4969backed Yes69c82.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6354…7701backed Yes55c81.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc782…3fc5backed Yes46c80.48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa23…2538backed Yes69c77.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x911e…93a1backed No55c74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90d7…f390backed Yes52c73.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x047c…fcbbbacked No57c72.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc1…07e0backed Yes45c72.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed No56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No54c65.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75b3…dae6backed Yes45c62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x676e…7b25backed Yes77c59.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb237…39e1backed No29c59.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…0b67backed Yes56c57.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ee…1c61backed Yes58c55.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f2…f3f7backed Yes57c55.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26de…dd82backed Yes47c54.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0ac…e96fbacked Yes58c54.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fe…3800backed Yes46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…7e9dbacked Yes64c54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e75…523fbacked Yes45c54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f70…6215backed No56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No58c53.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.