NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeea8eaedab406a72accf169718166560533b11d66598e109e63386b1826650ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $429,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 47c | 62,773$29,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,731.86 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Raptors | 30c | 50,612$15,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,400.37 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 48c | 23,121$11,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,027.32 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Magic | 48c | 20,585$9,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,881.11 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic | 70c | 16,270$11,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,451.54 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Magic | 69c | 15,529$10,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,787.51 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Magic | 17c | 14,645$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.16 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors | 45c | 12,737$5,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,986.39 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic | 56c | 10,721$6,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,054.85 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Raptors | 46c | 9,869$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 70c | 9,854$6,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,891.63 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Raptors | 31c | 8,560$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,906.57 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 29c | 8,025$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,663.6 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 58c | 4,919$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.57 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Raptors | 44c | 4,500$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.99 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 32c | 4,089$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.42 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Magic | 2c | 3,640$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3a…0a11backed Raptors | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Raptors | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.08 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 46c | 3,398$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Raptors | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Magic | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Magic | 70c | 2,779$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.99 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…c45cbacked Raptors | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Magic | 71c | 2,100$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…db9abacked Raptors | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 43c | 2,003$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 1,987$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Magic | 62c | 1,929$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…991cbacked Raptors | 30c | 1,857$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 70c | 1,780$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.02 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 1c | 1,594$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Magic | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 28c | 1,315$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.92 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 65c | 1,106$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.16 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Raptors | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Raptors | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Raptors | 30c | 993.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.77 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Magic | 1c | 992.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Magic | 71c | 986$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.06 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Magic | 46c | 926.4$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.94 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Magic | 62c | 888$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.56 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Raptors | 34c | 870.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.89 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…5962backed Magic | 71c | 809.49$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Raptors | 46c | 777.39$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.65 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…5467backed Magic | 71c | 739.82$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…c5c1backed Magic | 71c | 717.7$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 70c | 716.17$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.74 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…4b48backed Raptors | 30c | 703.33$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +92%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…ec14backed Magic | 71c | 703.01$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Magic | 67c | 677.54$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.16 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Magic | 22c | 677.53$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.06 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 70c | 657$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.9 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Raptors | 30c | 649.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Magic | 53c | 647.04$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.6 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Raptors | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Magic | 51c | 561.83$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.81 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Raptors | 37c | 535$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.05 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 70c | 500$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 5c | 465$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Raptors | 30c | 450$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5915…bdebbacked Magic | 53c | 444$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Raptors | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…2f6fbacked Raptors | 49c | 405.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…7097backed Magic | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Raptors | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Raptors | 30c | 393.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.28 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Raptors | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Magic | 49c | 370$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Magic | 70c | 355.32$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.72 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Raptors | 54c | 349.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Raptors | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…1e74backed Raptors | 55c | 324.51$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.03 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Raptors | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors | 29c | 299.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Magic | 30c | 296$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…f609backed Raptors | 31c | 281.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Raptors | 31c | 279$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.51 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors | 28c | 268$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.96 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…b6a8backed Raptors | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Magic | 70c | 258$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Raptors | 29c | 251.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Magic | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…00c9backed Magic | 64c | 227.05$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic | 66c | 216.46$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.21 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c2d3backed Magic | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Magic | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Raptors | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…ab13backed Magic | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…4bd6backed Raptors | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Magic | 71c | 194.37$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Magic | 61c | 184.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors | 33c | 184.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Raptors | 29c | 180$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Magic | 70c | 173.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480c…81f2backed Magic | 70c | 173.83$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Raptors | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.