NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ee6bfeb4a8cfc31718f8ae5505bc6c6442b70a2854b00adfef9a4f473df3452
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Kings, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,049,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,189,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,049,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Warriors | 76c | 45,048$34,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,878.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kings | 24c | 42,112$10,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,169 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Kings | 1c | 41,232$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.16 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kings | 17c | 33,633$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850.4 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Warriors | 73c | 32,601$23,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,772.62 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Kings | 3c | 27,960$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.12 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kings | 27c | 27,277$7,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,409.14 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Kings | 7c | 20,405$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.39 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 18c | 17,838$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Kings | 25c | 15,958$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.5 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings | 25c | 14,900$3,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.29 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 32c | 14,667$4,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.82 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 13,300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Kings | 30c | 13,168$3,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,892.46 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 2c | 12,725$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Kings | 29c | 10,345$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.09 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Warriors | 73c | 7,874$5,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.12 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 27c | 7,800$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.45 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Kings | 13c | 7,497$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings | 13c | 6,324$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.81 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Warriors | 72c | 6,275$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.31 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kings | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 26c | 4,500$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.98 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Warriors | 73c | 4,378$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.14 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 71c | 3,896$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.96 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Kings | 13c | 3,611$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.41 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Kings | 31c | 3,600$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 12c | 3,518$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.35 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kings | 1c | 3,400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Kings | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 26c | 3,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Warriors | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kings | 26c | 2,539$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.29 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 72c | 2,500$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.25 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Kings | 28c | 2,429$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.93 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Kings | 9c | 2,225$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.95 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Kings | 14c | 2,189$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Warriors | 72c | 2,140$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.2 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Warriors | 70c | 2,049$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.62 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Kings | 31c | 2,028$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.55 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Kings | 20c | 2,022$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.29 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Kings | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Kings | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 69c | 1,976$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.43 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b1d6backed Warriors | 75c | 1,956$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 70c | 1,952$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.58 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Kings | 32c | 1,720$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Kings | 19c | 1,632$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Kings | 7c | 1,592$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Kings | 32c | 1,572$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Warriors | 72c | 1,564$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.92 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 24c | 1,561$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.15 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Kings | 3c | 1,551$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Kings | 11c | 1,496$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Kings | 28c | 1,450$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.99 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Warriors | 73c | 1,439$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.43 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Kings | 12c | 1,430$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.74 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Warriors | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Warriors | 71c | 1,353$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.3 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 30c | 1,330$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.48 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 28c | 1,250$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.33 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Kings | 28c | 1,219$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.32 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 71c | 1,123$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.79 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Warriors | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Kings | 16c | 1,101$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Kings | 20c | 1,015$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Kings | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Kings | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Warriors | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…d964backed Kings | 3c | 900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Kings | 22c | 848.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Kings | 2c | 829.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Warriors | 70c | 800.04$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.06 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Kings | 26c | 775.23$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.56 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kings | 1c | 775$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 71c | 739.99$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…a887backed Kings | 12c | 713.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -83%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Kings | 10c | 700$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Warriors | 71c | 699.65$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.85 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Warriors | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Kings | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Kings | 29c | 688.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…771ebacked Kings | 29c | 688$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Warriors | 68c | 660.29$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.29 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Kings | 10c | 649.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Kings | 28c | 633.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.51 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Kings | 8c | 632.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings | 28c | 604$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Kings | 13c | 600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Kings | 12c | 600$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Kings | 9c | 599.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Kings | 14c | 522.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Warriors | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Kings | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…b33abacked Kings | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…53b1backed Kings | 29c | 483.83$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…db6abacked Kings | 21c | 481.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Warriors | 71c | 472.56$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Kings | 4c | 472.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.