NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x972d49c08c62d7aca02d38ad49f15af60972e4ef82f05d72174d536c6997c243
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Magic, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 21c | 21,582$4,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…f346backed Nuggets | 70c | 17,360$12,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Magic | 30c | 17,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Magic | 28c | 10,000$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.77 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Nuggets | 76c | 7,897$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.4 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 1c | 6,504$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…b2bdbacked Nuggets | 70c | 6,500$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…0e43backed Magic | 30c | 5,901$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 78c | 5,373$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.26 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 73c | 5,344$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.02 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 31c | 3,763$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.75 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Nuggets | 76c | 3,710$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.37 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 1c | 3,550$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 34c | 3,223$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.35 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic | 19c | 3,119$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.71 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Magic | 25c | 3,055$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.71 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 66c | 3,006$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Magic | 30c | 2,554$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.2 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nuggets | 73c | 2,408$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.64 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Magic | 17c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 27c | 1,951$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.38 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…1643backed Magic | 23c | 1,945$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,944$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.44 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Magic | 32c | 1,823$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.06 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 14c | 1,780$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.32 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Nuggets | 79c | 1,677$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.13 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…b747backed Magic | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…d60ebacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…40a5backed Magic | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 23c | 1,485$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.19 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Nuggets | 68c | 1,454$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.57 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…33dbbacked Nuggets | 72c | 1,429$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…5bfdbacked Magic | 40c | 1,330$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 1,282$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Nuggets | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.96 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,173$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Nuggets | 68c | 1,139$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.43 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 69c | 1,112$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.72 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Magic | 22c | 1,043$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.04 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Magic | 21c | 1,023$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Magic | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Nuggets | 66c | 1,000$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.5 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…2456backed Magic | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 1c | 932$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Nuggets | 71c | 915.65$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.54 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Nuggets | 60c | 886.68$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.67 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1322…89c7backed Nuggets | 70c | 841.14$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 31c | 811.29$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…d9f0backed Magic | 31c | 807.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Magic | 28c | 800$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.33 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…ffdbbacked Nuggets | 70c | 773.86$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Nuggets | 70c | 738.57$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.57 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…9cd4backed Nuggets | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Nuggets | 72c | 636.64$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.26 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…79e4backed Magic | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 25c | 599.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…a4fdbacked Magic | 26c | 592.24$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Magic | 3c | 588.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Nuggets | 75c | 579.85$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Magic | 31c | 550.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…755dbacked Nuggets | 75c | 547.65$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Nuggets | 72c | 519.97$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 28c | 509.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 30c | 503.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Magic | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 28c | 500$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Magic | 24c | 499.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…f922backed Nuggets | 75c | 436$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Magic | 25c | 420.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Nuggets | 72c | 405.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad1…a60ebacked Magic | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic | 31c | 380.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Magic | 21c | 339.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nuggets | 70c | 334.28$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Magic | 31c | 325.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 72c | 316.9$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Magic | 22c | 310.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3435backed Nuggets | 75c | 304.89$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Nuggets | 65c | 304.29$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Magic | 20c | 300.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Nuggets | 69c | 299.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…303dbacked Magic | 25c | 288$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…5dc7backed Magic | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Magic | 25c | 279.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nuggets | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Magic | 29c | 274.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…a259backed Magic | 39c | 256.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Magic | 26c | 235$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Nuggets | 76c | 228.3$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Nuggets | 76c | 219.74$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Nuggets | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Nuggets | 71c | 202.3$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Magic | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Magic | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…449fbacked Magic | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.