NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc834cf95c73425642b1b59f57f114cf8137e7de6dbdf38ad60e676524c12e63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $647,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $683,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 843 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cd9…dea4backed Grizzlies | 41c | 47,398$19,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,223 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 79c | 44,567$35,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,162.56 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Grizzlies | 15c | 41,381$6,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,341.76 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies | 45c | 17,685$7,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,955.97 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Warriors | 52c | 14,218$7,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,870.38 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 13,390$4,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,623.65 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 67c | 12,303$8,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.68 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 12,150$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,738.48 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Warriors | 78c | 11,362$8,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.86 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Warriors | 65c | 10,000$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…aaf1backed Warriors | 62c | 8,326$5,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Grizzlies | 44c | 7,800$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 7c | 7,525$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.75 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 67c | 7,395$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.8 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 6,528$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.5 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Warriors | 59c | 6,404$3,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.8 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Warriors | 63c | 6,201$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.18 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 63c | 6,194$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.73 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 37c | 6,100$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.97 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Grizzlies | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 75c | 5,635$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.64 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Warriors | 73c | 5,623$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.13 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 5,400$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.5 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Warriors | 60c | 5,204$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.67 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Warriors | 61c | 4,921$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.36 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 63c | 4,851$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.9 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 4,727$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.36 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors | 65c | 4,669$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.89 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Warriors | 64c | 4,417$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.87 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 37c | 4,263$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.79 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Grizzlies | 50c | 4,250$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 3,976$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Warriors | 70c | 3,640$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.81 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 64c | 3,500$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.99 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Grizzlies | 46c | 3,445$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.53 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…96ebbacked Warriors | 60c | 3,331$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Warriors | 62c | 3,238$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.08 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Grizzlies | 40c | 3,238$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.1 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 60c | 3,172$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Warriors | 73c | 3,020$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.41 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Grizzlies | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 65c | 3,000$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.86 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Grizzlies | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 2,849$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.2 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f6…04d4backed Grizzlies | 40c | 2,800$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…c4aabacked Grizzlies | 39c | 2,785$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 2,766$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Warriors | 66c | 2,755$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.68 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 61c | 2,737$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.21 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198d…e4c1backed Grizzlies | 40c | 2,730$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Grizzlies | 33c | 2,716$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.44 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Grizzlies | 38c | 2,627$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.05 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Warriors | 80c | 2,501$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.99 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Warriors | 64c | 2,400$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Warriors | 77c | 2,197$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.71 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Grizzlies | 35c | 2,143$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Warriors | 54c | 2,046$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.7 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Grizzlies | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 64c | 1,976$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,898$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Grizzlies | 42c | 1,800$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.67 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Grizzlies | 39c | 1,777$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.12 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Warriors | 63c | 1,750$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.91 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Grizzlies | 39c | 1,725$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.5 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies | 39c | 1,690$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.1 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Warriors | 66c | 1,516$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,427$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.92 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Warriors | 72c | 1,413$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.87 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Warriors | 67c | 1,333$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.84 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Grizzlies | 41c | 1,190$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.09 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Warriors | 74c | 1,140$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.75 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Warriors | 68c | 1,137$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.09 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Warriors | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Grizzlies | 3c | 1,065$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Warriors | 65c | 1,043$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.14 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 60c | 1,034$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.6 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 63c | 1,000$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Grizzlies | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Warriors | 61c | 949.25$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.51 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 60c | 924.96$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Grizzlies | 35c | 855.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Grizzlies | 35c | 826.12$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.41 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Warriors | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 59c | 808$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.28 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Grizzlies | 39c | 799.91$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.97 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Warriors | 73c | 758.59$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.97 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…ef8bbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Warriors | 61c | 669.19$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.98 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Grizzlies | 38c | 643.24$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.63 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 37c | 599.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 585$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…2c7dbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 555$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Grizzlies | 9c | 548.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Warriors | 73c | 545.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Grizzlies | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…4741backed Warriors | 46c | 521.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.63 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.