WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x850843c5a40e8a0b51e7ab5af49ecf594a50d7ef455f4afa525eead75e1f2b85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Liberty, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ca8…3998backed Liberty | 43c | 44,338$18,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,965.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Aces | 57c | 19,700$11,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,471 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Aces | 58c | 18,476$10,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,848.97 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Aces | 33c | 6,289$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,226.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Liberty | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Aces | 57c | 3,691$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Aces | 52c | 3,058$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Liberty | 42c | 2,966$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.41 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Aces | 49c | 2,655$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.53 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Liberty | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Aces | 56c | 2,309$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.02 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Aces | 63c | 1,829$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Liberty | 54c | 1,629$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Liberty | 44c | 1,489$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.57 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Liberty | 45c | 1,482$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.31 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Aces | 55c | 1,235$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Liberty | 74c | 1,125$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aces | 55c | 1,107$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.33 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Liberty | 43c | 1,015$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.45 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Liberty | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Aces | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Aces | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aces | 57c | 986.84$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.34 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aces | 47c | 984.29$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.93 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Liberty | 41c | 917.47$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aces | 65c | 856$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.34 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Aces | 54c | 843.76$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.34 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Liberty | 48c | 799.99$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Aces | 56c | 770$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Aces | 72c | 728.42$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Liberty | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Aces | 57c | 599.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Liberty | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Aces | 57c | 565$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.15 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Aces | 61c | 490$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Aces | 53c | 448.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.17 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Aces | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Liberty | 44c | 424.06$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Aces | 58c | 375.73$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Liberty | 44c | 364.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Aces | 46c | 325.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Aces | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Liberty | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Aces | 57c | 296.32$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Liberty | 40c | 275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aces | 41c | 272.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Liberty | 60c | 271.07$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Liberty | 50c | 250$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Liberty | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Liberty | 41c | 242.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Liberty | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liberty | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Liberty | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Liberty | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Aces | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Liberty | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Liberty | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Liberty | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Liberty | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1282backed Aces | 58c | 168.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Aces | 56c | 159.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…5f1abacked Liberty | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Aces | 43c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Aces | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Liberty | 42c | 120.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…066dbacked Liberty | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Liberty | 43c | 115.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Liberty | 42c | 115$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Liberty | 56c | 106.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Aces | 59c | 102.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Aces | 40c | 100.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Liberty | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Liberty | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Aces | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Liberty | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Aces | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Aces | 58c | 78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Liberty | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Liberty | 47c | 63.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Liberty | 43c | 61.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Aces | 56c | 52.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Liberty | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Liberty | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Liberty | 41c | 43.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Aces | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Aces | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Liberty | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…c70dbacked Liberty | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Aces | 58c | 31.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…d79ebacked Liberty | 65c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…d9efbacked Aces | 58c | 23.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 51cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked Liberty | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed Liberty | 64c | 18.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.