TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05f5…066d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 62 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+65.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. T1backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+150.3%+$60.13
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DN Freecsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+209.3%+$209.25
League of Legends: LNG Esports vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked ThunderTalk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
League of Legends: DN Freecs Challengers vs. Hanwha Life Esports Challengersbacked Hanwha Life · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
League of Legends: Fnatic vs. G2 Esportsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. Dplus KIAbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
League of Legends: DRX vs. BNK FEARXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$266.67
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Team WEbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. KT Rolsterbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$196.43
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
League of Legends: DRX vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mystics vs Sunbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mercury vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Dream vs Stormbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Liberty vs Acesbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Valkyries vs Mysticsbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Sky vs Sunbacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Storm vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+474.5%+$118.62
All 7 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Nationals vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stanford vs. Hawaiibacked Hawai'i · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$106.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K August 25–31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$781.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.