Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Fnatic vs. G2 Esports
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf93a3c35fca0ea58b466a9299cd95b28d66ba567ad1a633cb5fd1e4ab80aaab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof Fnatic, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Fnatic | 42c | 25,388$10,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,661.47 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed G2 Esports | 58c | 14,003$8,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,891.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed G2 Esports | 69c | 11,493$7,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.55 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fnatic | 34c | 6,836$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.12 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Fnatic | 21c | 6,300$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.59 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed G2 Esports | 74c | 3,834$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.52 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked G2 Esports | 60c | 3,322$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.54 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Fnatic | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked G2 Esports | 58c | 2,911$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.62 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Fnatic | 30c | 1,957$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.85 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked G2 Esports | 59c | 1,701$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.67 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Fnatic | 39c | 1,363$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.53 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed G2 Esports | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…75b3backed G2 Esports | 58c | 1,174$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.09 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked G2 Esports | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed G2 Esports | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Fnatic | 43c | 997$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.01 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked G2 Esports | 58c | 818.22$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.65 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed G2 Esports | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed G2 Esports | 59c | 793.1$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.17 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked G2 Esports | 59c | 779.66$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.66 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Fnatic | 41c | 700$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked G2 Esports | 61c | 693.91$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.91 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 Esports | 58c | 555$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Fnatic | 29c | 517.86$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed G2 Esports | 78c | 504.55$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed G2 Esports | 58c | 502.88$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.21 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed G2 Esports | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Fnatic | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed G2 Esports | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed G2 Esports | 60c | 461.28$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.51 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Fnatic | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed G2 Esports | 74c | 414.74$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fnatic | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Fnatic | 33c | 393$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed G2 Esports | 78c | 361.74$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked G2 Esports | 59c | 341.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked G2 Esports | 68c | 275.57$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…bdc2backed Fnatic | 36c | 270$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed G2 Esports | 58c | 270$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Fnatic | 31c | 260$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed Fnatic | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…066dbacked G2 Esports | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed G2 Esports | 61c | 150.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Fnatic | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Fnatic | 41c | 114.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c4…a705backed Fnatic | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed G2 Esports | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked G2 Esports | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…6546backed G2 Esports | 63c | 85.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Fnatic | 31c | 72.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…3db1backed G2 Esports | 60c | 64.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked Fnatic | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…a95bbacked Fnatic | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Fnatic | 21c | 53.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Fnatic | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…8598backed G2 Esports | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked G2 Esports | 59c | 43.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…5c04backed G2 Esports | 58c | 43.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…0b95backed G2 Esports | 60c | 41.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Fnatic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed G2 Esports | 65c | 38.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Fnatic | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked G2 Esports | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed G2 Esports | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1731…5372backed G2 Esports | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…3dbebacked G2 Esports | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.