TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x48e2…35c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST6365.1%41 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$13.58
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+60.7%+$17.29
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.71
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$90
LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Team Liquid (BO1)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21.67
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$22.91
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16.75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.93
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.29
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.57
League of Legends: Senshi Esports Club vs. mCon esportsbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.33
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
League of Legends: Alpha7 Esports vs. Vivo Keyd Stars Academybacked Vivo Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$44.3
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. Fnaticbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$65.31
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. BNK FEARXbacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
League of Legends: Vitality.Bee vs. BK ROG Esportsbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+60.3%+$10.01
League of Legends: Galions vs. Karmine Corp Bluebacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. BNK FEARXbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.56
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
League of Legends: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs. Los Grandesbacked Los Grandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.65
League of Legends: Gentle Mates vs. Solarybacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$15.61
League of Legends: DN Freecs Challengers vs. Hanwha Life Esports Challengersbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$15.68
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST2075%15 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA Academy (BO3)backed largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+35.8%+$9.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.5%+$7.71
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$49.14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+37%+$33.16
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$29.88
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+34%+$27.84
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+29.9%+$19.47
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+31.6%+$28.35
Thunderpick WC: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Venombacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.56
BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. FURIAbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.98
BLAST Open: fnatic vs. M80backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$31.49
BLAST Open: Vitality vs. FaZebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+69.1%+$13.82
EWC Cs2: Natus Vincere vs. 3DMAXbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$103
BLAST Bounty: paiN vs. The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$366.67
BLAST Bounty: Complexity vs. HEROICbacked Complexity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
BLAST Bounty: fnatic vs. Legacybacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
BLAST Bounty: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. paiNbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
BLAST Bounty: MIBR vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$253.83
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Makarska: Simona Waltert vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.65
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Koprivabacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.71
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swanbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.67
Tyler: Andres Martin vs Blake Ellisbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.03
Centurion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Patrick Zahrajbacked Robin Bertrand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.06
Birmingham: Jacob Fearnley vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.12
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Martin Landaluce vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Alexander Blockx vs Justin Engelbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Cameron Norriebacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$23.25
Erste Bank Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$10.28
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Swiss Indoors Basel: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jiri Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.64
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+37%+$4.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$28.11
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$8.15
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$42.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$359
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.1%+$74.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+89.6%+$53.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$19.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.