Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Gentle Mates vs. Solary
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfb2569f3ee29f6d55f38d0db13cebefa641d876369d0dc84e893cced24072b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Solary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Solary | 45c | 8,198$3,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686.7 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 1,860$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.38 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 1,196$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.25 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 999$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.34 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 867.27$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.27 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked Solary | 36c | 736.54$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Solary | 29c | 705.46$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 649.19$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Solary | 37c | 572.42$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.4 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Solary | 36c | 325$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Solary | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 180$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Gentle Mates | 65c | 173$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 137.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 134.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Solary | 30c | 124.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 95.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 45.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 43.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 34.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Solary | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.