Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Senshi Esports Club vs. mCon esports
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe83e895b927003c17797f867ddff9181ddac7e7b8713ebc4c4447a9a6d685abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senshiof Senshi, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Senshi | 58c | 1,988$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.95 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed mCon esports | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…1d4bbacked mCon esports | 50c | 882.64$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Senshi | 53c | 844$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.36 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Senshi | 52c | 599.89$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.08 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Senshi | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked mCon esports | 44c | 444$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked mCon esports | 50c | 440.08$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.84 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked mCon esports | 44c | 386$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.84 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed mCon esports | 46c | 198$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked mCon esports | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed mCon esports | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed mCon esports | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed mCon esports | 59c | 39.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed mCon esports | 54c | 28.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked mCon esports | 44c | 24.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.