Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: DN Freecs Challengers vs. Hanwha Life Esports Challengers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf9877d2ef93c739413f0d660e5905600661a345538a95b086c2bb2ceb848039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN Freecsof DN Freecs, Hanwha
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs | 43c | 3,128$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.68 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Hanwha | 57c | 1,447$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.99 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked Hanwha | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Hanwha | 49c | 1,158$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.25 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked DN Freecs | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Hanwha | 56c | 754.95$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed DN Freecs | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked DN Freecs | 45c | 378.65$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.75 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked DN Freecs | 37c | 354.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.39 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…1050backed Hanwha | 63c | 354.59$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed DN Freecs | 42c | 337.57$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed DN Freecs | 22c | 322.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.73 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Hanwha | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Hanwha | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked DN Freecs | 45c | 231$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Hanwha | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed DN Freecs | 47c | 168.96$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Hanwha | 80c | 135.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hanwha | 65c | 130$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked DN Freecs | 30c | 112.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Hanwha | 56c | 84.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Hanwha | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed DN Freecs | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Hanwha | 68c | 57.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Hanwha | 69c | 51.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed DN Freecs | 54c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cc32backed DN Freecs | 69c | 44.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…1310backed DN Freecs | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed DN Freecs | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked DN Freecs | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Hanwha | 54c | 26.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0509backed Hanwha | 57c | 24.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.