Middle East · resolved market
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47de0bef6cb4663b593cff4fbf1ece8eb77a3b4a9f1c2e272ba3bbba12e8c052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,612,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,165,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,612,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 52c | 215,563$111,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,993.61 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed No | 5c | 183,507$8,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,497.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…e6e0backed No | 65c | 97,615$63,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,766.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…1472backed No | 1c | 87,643$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0333…3b1dbacked No | 1c | 46,109$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked No | 30c | 43,241$12,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,934.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3714…9ce3backed No | 1c | 40,358$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 6c | 39,537$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,117.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…f5f8backed No | 2c | 33,723$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 62c | 32,542$20,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,370.84 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…0300backed No | 25c | 32,360$8,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,091.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…0e46backed No | 1c | 32,333$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…ee53backed No | 15c | 32,040$4,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 73c | 30,630$22,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.23 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…564cbacked No | 3c | 28,322$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed No | 1c | 27,212$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…06a3backed No | 1c | 27,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…1d35backed No | 13c | 26,647$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…68f8backed No | 1c | 26,296$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4db…966ebacked No | 1c | 25,527$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…0e8ebacked No | 30c | 23,950$7,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,255.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…488bbacked No | 5c | 20,935$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…343dbacked Yes | 79c | 20,931$16,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…61cebacked Yes | 80c | 20,735$16,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,157.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 10c | 18,430$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.85 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…8ccdbacked No | 6c | 17,873$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 26c | 17,752$4,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658.18 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772a…c9f3backed No | 22c | 16,215$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3140…fbbebacked No | 1c | 16,056$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…2af2backed No | 1c | 15,461$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…83adbacked No | 0c | 14,338$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…05a6backed No | 0c | 14,061$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…a7c1backed No | 2c | 13,943$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 77c | 13,936$10,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.9 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…f289backed No | 1c | 13,725$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 25c | 13,353$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,966.13 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +73%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…4646backed No | 32c | 13,039$4,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…c3d6backed No | 1c | 12,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…71d9backed No | 1c | 12,203$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41d…9ba4backed No | 7c | 12,069$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 6c | 11,489$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.9 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f801backed No | 0c | 10,933$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 72c | 10,707$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…86c6backed No | 5c | 10,409$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ac…091ebacked No | 2c | 10,398$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 31c | 10,255$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.02 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf8…3632backed No | 14c | 10,178$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…32dbbacked No | 1c | 10,087$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…0b42backed No | 1c | 10,027$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…c85fbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…9c6ebacked No | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…58ddbacked No | 2c | 9,683$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…38a5backed No | 6c | 9,625$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed No | 1c | 9,498$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 44c | 9,207$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.49 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 37c | 9,083$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 15c | 8,727$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,388.13 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…207ebacked No | 11c | 8,611$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…048abacked No | 2c | 8,565$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…9019backed No | 2c | 8,101$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…8e0bbacked No | 1c | 8,083$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 45c | 7,980$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.11 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…a363backed No | 29c | 7,951$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.97 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…7c05backed No | 14c | 7,902$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 51c | 7,824$3,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.99 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…cc2abacked No | 14c | 7,771$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed Yes | 9c | 7,541$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,871.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +259.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed Yes | 79c | 7,045$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 48c | 6,976$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.19 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2083…962ebacked Yes | 37c | 6,690$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf92…55cbbacked No | 35c | 6,676$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 31c | 6,590$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.23 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked No | 76c | 6,357$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.77 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 74c | 6,295$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.55 | 103 | 27.2%28 W · 75 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…a4f1backed No | 43c | 6,198$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…fc2dbacked No | 4c | 6,099$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…b7f5backed No | 51c | 6,011$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…932fbacked No | 1c | 6,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed No | 13c | 5,968$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…413ebacked No | 1c | 5,874$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 47c | 5,855$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.53 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed No | 80c | 5,626$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Yes | 77c | 5,543$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…a453backed No | 1c | 5,437$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed No | 15c | 5,412$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.67 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…f597backed No | 1c | 5,300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8e…cdccbacked No | 74c | 5,280$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 51c | 5,245$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.01 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…4febbacked Yes | 6c | 5,059$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,740.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 38c | 5,054$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.35 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb54a…cf5abacked No | 2c | 5,006$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed No | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 66c | 4,971$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.93 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 73c | 4,809$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.69 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…a885backed No | 22c | 4,679$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x909e…cecfbacked No | 1c | 4,537$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…5761backed No | 10c | 4,499$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…028cbacked No | 1c | 4,465$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…1800backed No | 71c | 4,333$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e5…2a64backed No | 2c | 4,232$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.