Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hofstra Pride vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76276d180dd9d043c9efc7ecbf68fe9910943b30f92eda2212b0650712d6f9a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hofstra Prideof Hofstra Pride, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 75c | 6,700$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hofstra Pride | 25c | 5,586$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.5 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hofstra Pride | 79c | 3,799$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.71 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hofstra Pride | 42c | 2,346$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.81 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 26c | 2,046$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.88 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Hofstra Pride | 20c | 1,600$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 34c | 1,149$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hofstra Pride | 78c | 1,063$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 80c | 1,015$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.1 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 80c | 1,007$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.31 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…eab4backed Hofstra Pride | 74c | 900.37$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.01 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Hofstra Pride | 61c | 784.85$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.47 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hofstra Pride | 64c | 765.2$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.93 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hofstra Pride | 20c | 720.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.48 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hofstra Pride | 61c | 705.45$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 29c | 405.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.73 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Hofstra Pride | 22c | 404.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.13 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 78c | 404.01$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.13 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 25c | 312.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 37c | 273$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 35c | 249.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hofstra Pride | 75c | 169$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hofstra Pride | 65c | 166.61$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 29c | 139$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hofstra Pride | 76c | 131.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hofstra Pride | 58c | 128.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hofstra Pride | 31c | 128.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hofstra Pride | 24c | 121.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…36d8backed Hofstra Pride | 75c | 107.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hofstra Pride | 47c | 105.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Hofstra Pride | 75c | 104.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Hofstra Pride | 25c | 47.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Hofstra Pride | 74c | 39.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Hofstra Pride | 56c | 37.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Hofstra Pride | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.