CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: MIBR vs. Virtus.pro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0fcb7f79e1f50b1c81ff38a763a3ab10c3bf0ce9e07f1a066b8dbabee2a5ee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof MIBR, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed MIBR | 31c | 8,242$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.94 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 6,689$4,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed MIBR | 27c | 3,349$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 2,852$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 2,335$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.9 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed MIBR | 25c | 2,300$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed MIBR | 31c | 2,176$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked MIBR | 25c | 1,551$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked MIBR | 33c | 1,489$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.26 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 1,346$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.14 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MIBR | 34c | 1,239$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.52 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MIBR | 2c | 1,155$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 1,015$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.15 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MIBR | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed MIBR | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 984.84$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.85 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked MIBR | 34c | 968.64$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.34 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 960.44$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.15 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed MIBR | 32c | 888$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 798.51$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.51 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 753.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.83 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed MIBR | 34c | 732.35$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked MIBR | 27c | 658.9$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed MIBR | 34c | 656.34$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MIBR | 33c | 650$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked MIBR | 24c | 640$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MIBR | 15c | 622.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed MIBR | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 563.54$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked MIBR | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.75 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 485$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked MIBR | 21c | 468.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 449.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 413$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 375.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed MIBR | 34c | 353.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR | 31c | 305.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…d8bebacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 283.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 254.9$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked MIBR | 15c | 205.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed MIBR | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed MIBR | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed MIBR | 35c | 199.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 190.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MIBR | 20c | 171.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed MIBR | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 149.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed MIBR | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed MIBR | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 122.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MIBR | 25c | 117.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked MIBR | 32c | 112$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked MIBR | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…957dbacked MIBR | 25c | 106.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed MIBR | 27c | 102$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…7fe7backed MIBR | 34c | 100.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed MIBR | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…f89cbacked MIBR | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed MIBR | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed MIBR | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…4578backed MIBR | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed MIBR | 31c | 40.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed MIBR | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…824cbacked MIBR | 29c | 35.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 29.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…c86cbacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe688…fc52backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 22.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 20.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f8…ab79backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.