TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d46…93ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Open: fnatic vs. GamerLegionbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.56
EWC Cs2: FaZe vs. Aurorabacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$553.88
EWC Cs2: Vitality vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
EWC Cs2: Natus Vincere vs. 3DMAXbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spirit win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$238.5
BLAST Bounty: Vitality vs. The MongolZbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,700
BLAST Bounty: MOUZ vs. Spiritbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
BLAST Bounty: Vitality vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
BLAST Bounty: The MongolZ vs. Aurorabacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
BLAST Bounty: MOUZ vs. Astralisbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$392
BLAST Bounty: Legacy vs. Vitalitybacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
BLAST Bounty: HEROIC vs. Aurorabacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
BLAST Bounty: Liquid vs. FURIAbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+262.2%+$183.57
BLAST Bounty: Virtus.Pro vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
BLAST Bounty: Astralis vs. Natus Vincerebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+203%+$58.37
BLAST Bounty: Complexity vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+74.4%+$223.29
BLAST Bounty: fnatic vs. Legacybacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+52.9%+$344.17
BLAST Bounty: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. paiNbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
BLAST Bounty: Rare Atom vs. Astralisbacked Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
BLAST Bounty: Passion UA vs. Spiritbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
BLAST Bounty: TNL vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+46%+$180.97
BLAST Bounty: MIBR vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
BLAST Bounty: BetBoom vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$171.43
BLAST Bounty: Nemiga vs. G2backed Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
BLAST Bounty: ECSTATIC vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+63.2%+$379.17
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 275–289 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 245–259 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 230–244 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Cincinnati - Mensik vs. Nardi backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.