CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: Legacy vs. Vitality
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0769c8011b86c0d081d8ed2022c74ff98c0fbe81885f8cc83a635f04630ff64e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Legacy, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Legacy | 14c | 4,392$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Legacy | 9c | 3,924$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.97 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Legacy | 20c | 2,918$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.69 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Legacy | 11c | 2,485$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.97 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Legacy | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Legacy | 8c | 1,733$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Legacy | 10c | 1,309$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Legacy | 12c | 1,140$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Legacy | 16c | 1,100$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Legacy | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Legacy | 5c | 965.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Legacy | 12c | 849.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Legacy | 2c | 770.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Legacy | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Legacy | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked Legacy | 8c | 363.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Legacy | 10c | 352.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Legacy | 10c | 230.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Legacy | 10c | 209.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Legacy | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Legacy | 10c | 188$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed Legacy | 8c | 153.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked Legacy | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Legacy | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…57efbacked Legacy | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Legacy | 12c | 96.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.