CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: fnatic vs. Legacy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0afff694e3b5461e69c423db26459e5575ceaf7e120856db35442fbcd2bf222d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof fnatic, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Legacy | 67c | 84,834$56,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,865.85 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked fnatic | 35c | 34,425$12,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,036.29 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed fnatic | 34c | 29,228$10,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,031.88 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed fnatic | 34c | 13,909$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785.02 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed fnatic | 26c | 11,192$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.87 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Legacy | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.76 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked fnatic | 36c | 4,814$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed fnatic | 34c | 3,914$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.62 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed fnatic | 25c | 3,803$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.17 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Legacy | 66c | 3,791$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.85 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked fnatic | 29c | 2,832$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Legacy | 64c | 2,295$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.66 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Legacy | 66c | 2,127$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.27 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed fnatic | 35c | 1,601$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.41 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed fnatic | 31c | 1,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked fnatic | 19c | 1,256$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Legacy | 64c | 1,040$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.74 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked fnatic | 35c | 1,017$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.07 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed fnatic | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked fnatic | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Legacy | 64c | 998.16$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.34 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked Legacy | 65c | 994.17$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.17 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Legacy | 79c | 863.21$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.21 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked fnatic | 26c | 831.74$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked fnatic | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Legacy | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed fnatic | 40c | 752.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed fnatic | 37c | 714.14$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.23 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked fnatic | 31c | 681.26$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed fnatic | 36c | 648.58$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.49 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Legacy | 64c | 648.58$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.49 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Legacy | 70c | 574.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Legacy | 66c | 501.91$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked fnatic | 9c | 423.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed fnatic | 8c | 416.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Legacy | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed fnatic | 24c | 388.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked fnatic | 33c | 354.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Legacy | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed fnatic | 36c | 267.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Legacy | 65c | 253.69$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed fnatic | 19c | 225.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe688…fc52backed Legacy | 68c | 215.69$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed Legacy | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed fnatic | 32c | 193.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed fnatic | 34c | 184.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Legacy | 63c | 168.11$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed fnatic | 17c | 167.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…11febacked Legacy | 77c | 160.87$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…3155backed Legacy | 70c | 156.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Legacy | 65c | 154.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed fnatic | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Legacy | 66c | 145.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…a00ebacked fnatic | 29c | 121.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Legacy | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…448fbacked Legacy | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…57efbacked Legacy | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked fnatic | 33c | 98.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…8230backed Legacy | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed fnatic | 36c | 91.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed fnatic | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Legacy | 66c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…8c88backed fnatic | 35c | 77.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked fnatic | 36c | 75.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed Legacy | 66c | 74.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Legacy | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed fnatic | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Legacy | 65c | 64.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…0a71backed Legacy | 72c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Legacy | 65c | 53.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed fnatic | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…c992backed fnatic | 30c | 45.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked fnatic | 37c | 40.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed fnatic | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e31…5394backed Legacy | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed fnatic | 30c | 37.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef6e…63a1backed fnatic | 37c | 35.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Legacy | 66c | 26.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Legacy | 64c | 26.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Legacy | 60c | 25.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.