TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0f6…8230

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.48
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.43
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$107
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$57.52
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
BLAST Open: Spirit vs. G2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$79
BLAST Open: Spirit vs. FURIAbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
BLAST Open: FURIA vs. Legacybacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$18.85
BLAST Open: FaZe vs. ECSTATICbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+56.7%+$24.07
BLAST Open: GamerLegion vs. Virtus.probacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$11.67
Will The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$30.54
EWC Cs2: Falcons vs. Aurorabacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.26
EWC Cs2: The MongolZ vs. Vitalitybacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
EWC Cs2: Falcons vs. MOUZbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+39%+$40.18
EWC Cs2: Vitality vs. TYLOObacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
EWC Cs2: 3DMAX vs. The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$20.14
EWC Cs2: MOUZ vs. Virtus.probacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$9.18
EWC Cs2: G2 vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Spirit win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
EWC Cs2: FaZe vs. Aurorabacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
EWC Cs2: GamerLegion vs. The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12
Will Spirit win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+160.6%+$88.34
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Bounty: Spirit vs. Virtus.probacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$38.35
League of Legends: GIANTX vs. Team Vitalitybacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
League of Legends: Disguised vs. Shopify Rebellionbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$36.43
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.