CS2 · resolved market
EWC Cs2: Vitality vs. TYLOO
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd30d39b5eca7b7abfb8c082d9b2027975f22dcba4a2989d670f6ed53b89e0fa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked TYLOO | 11c | 171,993$18,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,976.43 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0e…8a7ebacked TYLOO | 12c | 33,378$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed TYLOO | 9c | 19,998$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.82 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…c8fabacked TYLOO | 12c | 4,006$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed TYLOO | 13c | 2,301$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.08 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed TYLOO | 10c | 2,028$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.95 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed TYLOO | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TYLOO | 10c | 1,750$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed TYLOO | 11c | 1,326$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed TYLOO | 10c | 1,256$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TYLOO | 9c | 1,136$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed TYLOO | 10c | 1,008$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked TYLOO | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked TYLOO | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed TYLOO | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked TYLOO | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff5…8c56backed TYLOO | 9c | 934$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked TYLOO | 10c | 898$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed TYLOO | 9c | 800$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed TYLOO | 13c | 786.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked TYLOO | 10c | 716$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…4673backed TYLOO | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed TYLOO | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…0d18backed TYLOO | 11c | 468.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed TYLOO | 5c | 418.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked TYLOO | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked TYLOO | 12c | 275$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…ad52backed TYLOO | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ea37backed TYLOO | 10c | 201$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…7198backed TYLOO | 10c | 195.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed TYLOO | 11c | 183.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…ca10backed TYLOO | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TYLOO | 11c | 169.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…a76fbacked TYLOO | 13c | 162.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad2…f7f0backed TYLOO | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed TYLOO | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0270…1a44backed TYLOO | 11c | 139$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed TYLOO | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed TYLOO | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked TYLOO | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked TYLOO | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed TYLOO | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…8230backed TYLOO | 12c | 90.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.