CS2 · resolved market
EWC Cs2: Falcons vs. Aurora
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9de6d7296ca0ee699a9108081737239fa1841affe977b3c092a9e24513fe5b27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Falcons, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d0e…8a7ebacked Falcons | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora | 76c | 18,452$14,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.68 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Falcons | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 27c | 9,088$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,634.35 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Falcons | 74c | 8,698$6,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,441.92 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Aurora | 35c | 7,478$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,825.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Aurora | 28c | 5,350$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Aurora | 52c | 4,053$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.25 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…ed25backed Falcons | 73c | 3,990$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 36c | 3,872$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Aurora | 25c | 3,575$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.24 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Aurora | 72c | 3,395$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.04 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Falcons | 58c | 3,209$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Falcons | 73c | 3,177$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.1 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Falcons | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed Aurora | 29c | 2,512$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Falcons | 74c | 2,305$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Falcons | 78c | 2,280$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.4 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Falcons | 46c | 2,000$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.93 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…e71dbacked Aurora | 28c | 1,846$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…c8fabacked Aurora | 29c | 1,737$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.88 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Falcons | 71c | 1,443$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.9 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Aurora | 57c | 1,427$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.32 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Falcons | 71c | 1,385$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.12 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Falcons | 53c | 1,200$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.9 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Falcons | 77c | 1,169$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Falcons | 70c | 1,101$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.87 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Aurora | 42c | 1,012$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.11 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Aurora | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Aurora | 27c | 998.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.26 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Falcons | 72c | 967.09$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora | 28c | 952.92$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.1 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Falcons | 74c | 948$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.52 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Falcons | 74c | 816.78$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.92 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Falcons | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora | 25c | 749.86$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.08 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Aurora | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Aurora | 63c | 700$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.86 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Falcons | 44c | 646.44$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.93 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Aurora | 50c | 627.45$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.45 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Falcons | 73c | 602.74$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Falcons | 69c | 600$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.71 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Falcons | 40c | 599.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Aurora | 27c | 543.27$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.3 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d5…8a19backed Falcons | 35c | 521.61$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…2d67backed Falcons | 48c | 503.11$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Falcons | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Falcons | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed Aurora | 52c | 499.71$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.87 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb8…9177backed Falcons | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc17…2a53backed Falcons | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Falcons | 73c | 398.63$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Falcons | 73c | 390$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.7 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Aurora | 54c | 361.15$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Falcons | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Falcons | 77c | 351.56$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.7 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Aurora | 27c | 350$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Falcons | 66c | 320.12$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.65 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Falcons | 46c | 315.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Aurora | 25c | 308.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Aurora | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Falcons | 50c | 276$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Aurora | 60c | 273.53$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Aurora | 52c | 272.54$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…6102backed Falcons | 76c | 269.74$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Aurora | 28c | 267.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Aurora | 48c | 258.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…9052backed Falcons | 74c | 253.39$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Aurora | 47c | 245.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…6519backed Falcons | 47c | 244.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed Falcons | 64c | 236.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Falcons | 73c | 231.49$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x579b…9dfbbacked Aurora | 28c | 222$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +117%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…bbcabacked Aurora | 27c | 220$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Aurora | 28c | 213.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.15 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Falcons | 48c | 206.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Aurora | 55c | 205.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Aurora | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Falcons | 51c | 197.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Aurora | 46c | 193.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Aurora | 64c | 186.78$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Aurora | 28c | 186.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…b9a7backed Falcons | 73c | 178.7$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…37fabacked Aurora | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…7764backed Aurora | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +134%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed Falcons | 50c | 161.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Falcons | 45c | 151.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Falcons | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…885abacked Aurora | 64c | 149.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7314…9073backed Falcons | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa281…66aebacked Falcons | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Falcons | 74c | 136.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Falcons | 38c | 134.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Falcons | 76c | 132.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Aurora | 28c | 129$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaccc…67fdbacked Falcons | 76c | 118.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed Falcons | 76c | 116.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Aurora | 40c | 107.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Falcons | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Falcons | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.