TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

EWC Cs2: Falcons vs. MOUZ

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Falcons, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,586 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4047…7293backed Falcons54c22,163$12,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,149.2445848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed Falcons61c20,003$12,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,885.24360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked MOUZ41c13,569$5,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,514.854151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed MOUZ45c9,943$4,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,434.5822849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Falcons56c6,833$3,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.038237.8%31 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed MOUZ44c5,555$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.288242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Falcons54c5,000$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.9235940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed MOUZ46c4,340$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.233056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Falcons63c4,337$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.7464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd92f…8169backed MOUZ45c4,251$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.793036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a2…2eccbacked MOUZ3c4,222$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Falcons54c3,406$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.829647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed MOUZ40c3,300$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31816335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dcd…d6b4backed MOUZ4c3,239$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76cc…5e4ebacked MOUZ43c2,789$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.081030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+87.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed MOUZ47c2,539$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19010538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed MOUZ46c2,505$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.683951.3%20 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1797…baa7backed MOUZ10c2,208$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.462532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Falcons54c2,202$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01144648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed MOUZ45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed MOUZ44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9818650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed MOUZ44c1,925$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.666842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ43c1,838$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.8475450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked MOUZ42c1,700$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.6881244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed MOUZ45c1,676$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.193450%17 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked Falcons64c1,566$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.094949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked MOUZ46c1,503$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.4713043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked MOUZ21c1,297$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.910261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Falcons55c1,296$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.22740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked MOUZ46c1,253$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.528956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Falcons57c1,213$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.435149%25 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Falcons56c1,207$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.0285446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked MOUZ48c1,041$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004959.2%29 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Falcons55c1,024$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.644348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Falcons57c1,015$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.171361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ54c985$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.915251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed MOUZ45c967.28$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.614864.6%31 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Falcons55c926.44$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.528751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Falcons56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed MOUZ46c852.27$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3909860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Falcons55c813.9$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.921,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked MOUZ42c804.19$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.546744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37646340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ46c755.43$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34660953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Falcons57c751.18$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0126251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Falcons55c750$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.519660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked MOUZ46c739.13$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34024440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20c1…11a3backed MOUZ28c715.7$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed Falcons56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2915448.7%75 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked Falcons57c704.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0911847.5%56 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Falcons56c701.04$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.8510663.2%67 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61be…a916backed MOUZ40c698.9$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.731353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7227…ed25backed MOUZ44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffe…0d18backed MOUZ41c627.79$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.484827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed MOUZ45c605$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.256643.9%29 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d5…8a19backed Falcons55c590$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-50.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed MOUZ47c575.98$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.717732.5%25 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ46c572.52$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3635341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Falcons54c569.98$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.745,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed MOUZ47c553.19$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26022242.8%95 W · 127 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed MOUZ46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536931.9%22 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ee…c6f0backed MOUZ4c528.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed MOUZ38c517.76$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4412131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f0…7764backed MOUZ32c500.91$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+134%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Falcons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22528351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Falcons80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6beb…389fbacked MOUZ46c489.13$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked MOUZ31c475$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2513235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ46c459.42$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21024554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe259…b890backed MOUZ35c454.73$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.051952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed MOUZ22c447.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2913532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Falcons65c433.92$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9742638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed MOUZ46c430.43$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19814237.3%53 W · 89 L-18.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xceb8…9177backed MOUZ30c421.35$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Falcons55c419.19$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8124139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce3…eda0backed MOUZ24c417.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked MOUZ45c413.18$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8414233.8%48 W · 94 L-18.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Falcons52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1928838.6%34 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Falcons56c375$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1656248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed Falcons55c370$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.512843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed MOUZ44c352.27$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15568753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed MOUZ45c323$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3511654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Falcons56c321.43$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.439552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Falcons68c294.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9426563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Falcons55c277.27$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7725941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ce…cb62backed MOUZ43c262$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked MOUZ38c256.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7347055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Falcons55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.563345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x822f…ea37backed MOUZ25c243$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.481643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed MOUZ42c239.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.86253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked Falcons56c239.68$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.213542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed MOUZ45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Falcons54c221.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.943743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed MOUZ46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.27243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed MOUZ46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037752%196 W · 181 L+1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked MOUZ46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004822.9%11 W · 37 L-9.0wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-49.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfcdb…5ae8backed MOUZ22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-73.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.