CS2 · resolved market
Will Spirit win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15c9906c68055ec7c32b3c86b7b20b3ea9d07981c6cd2b286d271a4e6c8943d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 27c | 22,471$6,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,087.15 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Yes | 73c | 22,238$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,037.69 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 26c | 22,043$5,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,808.84 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Yes | 72c | 11,952$8,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.71 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked No | 28c | 10,885$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.77 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 74c | 8,224$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.79 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked No | 26c | 8,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked No | 29c | 7,254$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.44 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 72c | 5,371$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.48 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed No | 27c | 5,185$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 3,748$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…1986backed Yes | 33c | 3,346$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Yes | 72c | 3,242$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.94 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Yes | 74c | 2,933$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.59 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Yes | 74c | 2,739$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.21 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Yes | 75c | 2,672$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.72 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed No | 16c | 2,630$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.7 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 68c | 2,516$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.46 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 26c | 2,515$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.9 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed No | 6c | 1,568$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…9c3dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,467$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed No | 26c | 1,436$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 74c | 1,409$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.39 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c78…1401backed Yes | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes | 67c | 1,369$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.9 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 66c | 1,215$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.73 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 27c | 1,150$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.7 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 74c | 945.95$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.95 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked Yes | 74c | 917.81$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…c8d8backed Yes | 74c | 811$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949f…4a02backed No | 32c | 770.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…75e7backed Yes | 72c | 764$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked Yes | 71c | 705.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…7198backed No | 28c | 651.61$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 40c | 567.14$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.7 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 72c | 560$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Yes | 72c | 463.96$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 73c | 451.2$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.41 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…b70cbacked No | 25c | 402.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 73c | 400$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 27c | 366.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 325.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Yes | 73c | 310$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed No | 23c | 308.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89d…d6b7backed Yes | 72c | 305.56$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed Yes | 25c | 280$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked No | 26c | 272.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 76c | 235.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…d967backed Yes | 74c | 201.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…fff3backed Yes | 75c | 201.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 197$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 62c | 172.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked Yes | 75c | 164.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…8230backed Yes | 38c | 143.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Yes | 46c | 141.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Yes | 61c | 140.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 30c | 139.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 52c | 137.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4006…9f86backed Yes | 79c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 76c | 133$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca50…7aa5backed Yes | 80c | 125.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 78c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 18c | 119.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 30c | 109$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368a…ea59backed Yes | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 70c | 106$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 29c | 103.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…57efbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 14c | 94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 15c | 92.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 80c | 82.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 38c | 79.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Yes | 71c | 78.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 49c | 77.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0e…78afbacked No | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 74c | 68.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed No | 29c | 67.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…414dbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Yes | 74c | 66.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 34c | 57.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…61d0backed Yes | 80c | 53.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes | 67c | 45.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…e485backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spirit win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?this page
- Will Astralis win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?No won
- Will Aurora win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?No won
- Will FURIA win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?No won
- Will FaZe win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?No won
- Will Liquid win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?No won
- Will MOUZ win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?No won
- Will The MongolZ win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?No won
- Will Vitality win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.