TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will The MongolZ win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4047…7293backed No73c10,085$7,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.3645848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a5…fae0backed Yes29c10,000$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,893.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked No73c9,777$7,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.526264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed Yes29c7,040$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.26842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes17c6,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0509345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes27c5,841$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.3325842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No74c5,511$4,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.9723355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c4,488$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.661,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes28c4,250$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19014239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed Yes27c3,462$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.614360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6758751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No71c2,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7151,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed No72c1,968$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.818650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec2…cb66backed Yes15c1,964$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d58…09c8backed Yes34c1,840$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes26c1,809$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.9146340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92f…8169backed Yes28c1,803$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.363036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes24c1,624$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.414332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ed…09fcbacked Yes29c1,600$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed Yes8c1,488$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.256931.9%22 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…07a2backed No76c1,435$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes9c1,296$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7414820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Yes28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3363743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes7c1,100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Yes28c1,072$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0513223.5%31 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed No80c1,050$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.254864.6%31 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes7c998.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.895326.4%14 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Yes17c904.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No80c900$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1831,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked Yes13c851.15$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.486744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8389…db1bbacked Yes16c834.1$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.617636.8%28 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9329…9d3ebacked Yes20c815.17$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f3…7198backed Yes8c814.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.162334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949f…4a02backed Yes38c788.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes27c700$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18916335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes29c672.69$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0835341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed No72c644$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3210933%36 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No74c629$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yes15c551.02$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.155149%25 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes8c536.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.322429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes28c521.18$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9317236.6%63 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Yes15c508.32$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5112131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes20c462.74$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4431735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes24c461.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.453724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed Yes7c460$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.16253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed No71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5426563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Yes28c411.32$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.177732.5%25 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Yes25c407.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes27c402$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.541,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9afd…3028backed No78c375.38$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004822.9%11 W · 37 L-9.0wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-49.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010738.3%41 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd49…b383backed Yes11c353.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed No71c319.59$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6856738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6245…67f0backed Yes27c305.89$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.592650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788055%44 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked No75c289.63$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.637659.2%45 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Yes30c283.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed No72c279.97$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3963345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yes28c264.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.715,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Yes26c251.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.353215.6%5 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa6f…7e67backed No78c243.74$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…55c3backed Yes23c216.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.337642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcdb…5ae8backed Yes25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-73.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c96…f26abacked No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed No72c189.91$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2625941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed Yes27c183$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x766e…699fbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Yes31c171.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2914544.8%65 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Yes8c171.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4318624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes33c164.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdce3…eda0backed Yes27c163.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.058645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x167f…1f51backed Yes19c156$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No79c151$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7114846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0835…c0abbacked Yes27c140.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.96825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No74c137.94$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1926351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Yes31c130$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.682146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x644f…8bc9backed Yes20c124.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe39c…5ec0backed Yes27c113.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.762138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+51.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed No77c110$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0d…59d0backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+82.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5657…78aebacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53c…5a2dbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes29c96.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes23c93.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.062937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x807c…d38bbacked Yes29c91.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7752…445dbacked Yes28c83.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233951.3%20 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8fbcbacked Yes29c79.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…079dbacked Yes21c74.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+111.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…9037backed Yes20c73.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f7…8c88backed Yes31c73.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.842035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ddd…6144backed Yes28c73.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.494742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Yes27c72.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdd…f594backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d61…c29dbacked Yes25c68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.