TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will MOUZ win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,947 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc559…ac69backed Yes36c837.81$305 inLost-$3052025%5 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes9c500$45 inLost-$4514332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes12c305.75$37 inLost-$36.692326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes15c300$45 inLost-$458137%30 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No80c247.17$198 inWon+$49.4314846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes13c148.65$19 inLost-$19.441414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89f1…ad52backed Yes21c140.67$30 inLost-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-71.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes11c116.15$13 inLost-$12.641,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4c…e485backed Yes22c69.41$15 inLost-$151428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed No77c14$11 inWon+$3.221258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.